August 23, 2017 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Online Request | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bridal Arch | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Road Test | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Very Hot | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lea’s Reward | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Starr of Quality | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Mining Diamonds | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sally Simpson | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Passion for Papa | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Gift of a Star | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Blondy’s Reward | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Pure Perfection | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Clifton Beach | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rafter One | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Orejas | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | My Perfect Gem | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Easy Game | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Beyond Wonderful | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Divulge | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Majordomo | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Wiggle | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fly Papa Fly | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Backintheacademy | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Out Ofthe Ordinary | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mangita | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wonderful Lie | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miz Strawberry Dee | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Swissarella | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Summer Lady | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lirica Heat (ARG) | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Her Big Moment | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Summertimemischief | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Desert Domination | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mugaritz | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fake News | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shaklster | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fight On Forever | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bob’s All In | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Charlie Cowden | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Zippy Groom | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Trust N Liberty | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ready to Hula Lula | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Secret Thorn | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Winemenow | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | La Premiere Etoile | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tuscany Beauty | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Red Stich | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bold At Night | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Love Recipe | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Knowitallhousewife | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Harry F. Brubaker S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Cupid | 0.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Win the Space | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | El Huerfano | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Soi Phet | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Forever Juanito | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Curlin Rules | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dressed in Hermes | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Ral Rue | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Amazon Cry | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 10 | Tastemaker | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Conqueror | 3.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Arch Prince | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Kinematico | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 9 | Divisor | 5.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Acker | 3.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Street Rules | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Latitude | 6.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Perfection Tale | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Fregosi | 12.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Warren’s Fandango | 5.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Landing Gear | 15.00 | 13.4 | 25-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.