August 21, 2017 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | The Berber | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Discretionary | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Infinity Squared | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Final Blessing | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lil Commissioner | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Michael Wonderful | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ever Young | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | High Risk Strategy | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ninetyeighttwo | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Itsthemoney | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Grand Banks | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Filly Madison | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Ciao Bella Mia | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Impazible Woman | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | She Remembered | 1.60 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Thin Dress | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | She’sakittykat | 1.20 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Irish Sweetheart | 4.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 13 | 13 | Frost Delay | 6.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 10 | Grande Beso | 15.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Prima Attrice | 12.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Princess Mikayah | 30.00 | 12.6 | 24-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Missy Mouse | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Marnesia Big Girl | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Madam Aamoura | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Causeway Cutie | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Charis | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Summer of Joy | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Over My Head | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Preziosa | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Song for the Soul | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Give Me Some Candy | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | This Bird Can Sing | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tres Charmant | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Starship Rockette | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sharp Lacey | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hay Field | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | The Two Nancy’s | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Galway Girl | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 12 | Selling Stones | 5.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Cetara | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | My Jelly Bean | 30.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Hembree | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | He’s Cheeky | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ben of the Bridge | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Patriot Drive | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Halloween Horror | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | California Swing | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Durango Dan | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cinderela El Crome | 3.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 7 | Honorable Jonas | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Run and Go | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bow Town Cat | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Toby Girl | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Awestruck | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Knarsdale | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Peaceful Passage | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Aspen Hilltop | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | For Honor | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Uncle Sigh | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Converge | 1.60 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Vintage Matters | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Super Hawk | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Birchwood Road | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 14 | 10 | Rooftop View | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Hidden Vow | 2.50 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Prophet’s Cat | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Helical Spring | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 12 | Cody’s Notes | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 15 | 15 | Taoiseach | 3.50 | 9.6 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Incorporate | 30.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | Scr |
| 13 | 13 | Irish Prayer | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Hoboe | 10.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bushmill Giant | 12.00 | 12.4 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Evan Shipman S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Diversify | 1.40 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Royal Posse | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Governor Malibu | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Good Luck Gus | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ostrolenka | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Papa Shot | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Goats Town | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 9 | Tricked Up | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Conquest Sandman | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Performance Bonus | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | War Stroll | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Semblance of Order | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cloud Control | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 14 | 14 | Devine Dental | 4.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Taste for Talent | 8.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Toohottoevenspeak | 6.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 10 | Tusk | 6.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Twenty Four Seven | 8.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Tipsy Kitten | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Acoustic | 15.00 | 12.4 | 23-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bankers Holiday | 8.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.