August 20, 2017 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 7 | Silver Assault | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Undercutter | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Straightaway May | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 5 | Here and There | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Caniform | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Lightning Buzz | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Martino | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Secret Scholar | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 4 | Rock Nation | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Independent Worker | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 7 | Kantune | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Air Vice Marshal | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Exulting | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Battle Midway | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 8 | Hollow Point | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mambo At the Gym | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Rapt | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Omened By | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jet Black | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kranji (BRZ) | 3.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Tapella | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Empressof the Nile | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Tiz Super | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 11 | Bogulator | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Conspiring | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Complicit | 2.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Magical Sky | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Silver Shaker | 3.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Equalityforall | 4.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Swizzle | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bodie’s Valentine | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Maker | 20.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ormolu Lu | 15.00 | 12.4 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Pirellone | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Swift One | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fortuitous Path | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chubby Master | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Man of Wiregrass | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Noneedtoflatterme | 3.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Heliodoro | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Monte Man | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sir Maurice | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bold Again | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Layla Noor | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Indy Union | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Fools Gold | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mad Dog Matters | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | My New Daughter | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Offer | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Moolah Schmoolah | 4.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 6 | Pass It On | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Silver Fern | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Sureis | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 13 | 13 | Kingdom’s Queen | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 7 | Wealth Effect | 3.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lemoona | 6.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Delta House | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Iggy’s Dream | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 9 | Lynah Rink | 12.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Party Club | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Coach Rocks | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gemini | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mominou | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Purrfect Miss | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gibbet | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | In Jail | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Tapete Claire | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lezendary | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Closing Statement | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Mia d’Oro | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Wicked Macho | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Heavy Meddle | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 7 | Gehrig | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jewel Can Disco | 1.60 | 4.9 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 6 | Macho Miah | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | We Were Kings | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | New York’s Finest | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Italian Syndicate | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | The Pooch | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Freedom Seven | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Psychic Energy | 8.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Ready for Summer | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lillie’s Answer | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Magician’s Vanity | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Romantic Music | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Grogger | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Winner’s Dream | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Cinder | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 14 | 14 | Queenofthechannel | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 11 | Baronet | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Milaya | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cincy Belle | 10.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | It’s Two Hot Benny | 20.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Wonderful Savvy | 12.00 | 13 | 25-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Ice Palace | 20.00 | 13.1 | 25-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Bluegrass Hip Hop | 20.00 | 13.4 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Summer Colony S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Verve’s Tale | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Rachel’s Temper | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Romantic Vision | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Going for Broke | 1.60 | 4.4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Blue Prize (ARG) | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Fuhriously Kissed | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Annie Rocks | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Ventry Bay | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lucky Town | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Tu Exageres | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 14 | 14 | Consumerconfidence | 2.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 10 | Cuckoo’s Saloon | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stormin Maclean | 3.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Real Creel | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Gasconade | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dearie | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Helluva Choice | 4.50 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bookew Bucks | 8.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Warm Springs | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Outrageous Bet | 6.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Enasoit | 15.00 | 11.9 | 22-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Love My Cotton | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 | Scr |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.