August 20, 2017 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Broken Bridle |
2.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Emelina |
2.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Super Sharp |
2.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Secret Or Not |
8.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Inchargeofme (GB) |
5.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Conscription |
6.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Tizsomethingroyal |
1.80 |
7 |
13-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Follow the Petals |
6.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Wowwhatabrat |
15.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Slim |
2.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Fort Carroll |
10.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Miss My People |
8.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Swamp Chilli |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Barcraft |
1.80 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Creepy the Crab |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Conquistodor Fuego |
30.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Jed Tennessee |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
14 |
11 |
Saturday’s Rein |
3.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Chobee Girl |
5.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
|
9 |
7 |
Conjecture |
4.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
|
10 |
8 |
Dat Dares Gold |
5.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Hard Headed Woman |
5.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Not Above Love |
8.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
No Vermouth |
12.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
|
12 |
12 |
Gottagottagiggle |
12.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
Scr |
13 |
10 |
Egber |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Go Danica |
12.00 |
9.9 |
19-1 |
|
15 |
15 |
Viserion |
15.00 |
10.3 |
19-1 |
Scr |
11 |
9 |
Steve Said Don’t |
15.00 |
11.9 |
22-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Out of Juice |
15.00 |
12.1 |
23-1 |
Scr |
6 |
5 |
Sweet Walela |
20.00 |
13 |
25-1 |
|
16 |
16 |
Wiggle Room |
15.00 |
13 |
25-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Just So Story |
15.00 |
14.1 |
27-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
1 |
Irish Handcuffs |
5.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
The Iron Bank |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Radial Flyer |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Margarita Sunrise |
1.20 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Dads Party |
4.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Furthur |
20.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
For the Proudnfree |
20.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Buzz Lite |
12.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
3 |
Martywiththeparty |
5.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Gold Braid |
4.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Motown Rhythm |
6.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
|
9 |
7 |
Howboutthemcowboys |
12.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
|
10 |
8 |
Good Genes |
20.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Icelake |
20.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Coach Matthew |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
Scr |
12 |
12 |
Colonel Andy |
8.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Run From the Nun |
6.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
Scr |
11 |
9 |
Totaled the Benz |
5.00 |
9.3 |
18-1 |
|
13 |
13 |
Stickman Buck |
15.00 |
9.4 |
18-1 |
Scr |
8 |
6 |
Party Regent |
20.00 |
9.9 |
19-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
He’s a Pussy Cat |
12.00 |
10.6 |
20-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
1 |
Unleash the Beast |
4.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Can’ttakeitwithyou |
3.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Circle R |
5.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
Scr |
8 |
7 |
Xtra Wisemann |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
I’ve Gotta Plan |
15.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Midnight Cry |
4.50 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Brahms Romp |
10.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Swingstage |
6.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
4 |
Tightly Bridled |
4.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Zapata |
3.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Mr. Benz |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Sunrise Sunset |
5.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
Scr |
12 |
7 |
Mr J |
30.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
14 |
14 |
Kidron |
4.50 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
Scr |
8 |
5 |
Circle of Light |
8.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Captain Alex |
15.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Chilly Magician |
8.00 |
9.1 |
17-1 |
Scr |
11 |
11 |
Scrapple |
20.00 |
9.6 |
18-1 |
Scr |
13 |
13 |
Ardmore Bay |
12.00 |
9.7 |
18-1 |
Scr |
9 |
9 |
Gator Boy |
15.00 |
10.9 |
21-1 |
Scr |
10 |
6 |
Credit Ready |
15.00 |
12.3 |
23-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Spoiled by God |
20.00 |
12.9 |
24-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Flyingtobechilders |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Big Joe Candy |
10.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Awesome Bill |
20.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Boca Scuttlebutt |
3.50 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Barney Rebel (IRE) |
3.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Artic North |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Intrepid Citizen |
4.50 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Frasero (ARG) |
8.00 |
7.1 |
14-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Jump Street Hero |
12.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Ghostly Games |
20.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Rarified Air |
2.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Enduring Warrior |
4.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Papacho |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
|
10 |
9 |
Turbo Booster |
4.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
El Gran Noel |
12.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Fifties Music |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Alwaysgotthehammer |
12.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
Scr |
9 |
8 |
Year Book |
6.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Pleasure Show |
30.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Spectacularwarrior |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
11 |
11 |
Southern Peach |
4.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Monavista Crossing |
3.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
Scr |
14 |
14 |
Grogger |
10.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
Scr |
12 |
6 |
Into Bluegrass |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Six Tonsafun |
12.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
Scr |
7 |
3 |
Bayshore Drive |
15.00 |
7.1 |
14-1 |
|
4 |
2 |
Sarah’s Whisper |
8.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
|
9 |
5 |
If I Was a Boy |
8.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
|
8 |
4 |
Supertrend |
15.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Lil Habit of Mine |
15.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
No Love Lost |
12.00 |
10.3 |
19-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Ms Eileen |
30.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
Scr |
13 |
13 |
Reilly S |
6.00 |
11.7 |
22-1 |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Quick Thinking |
12.00 |
11.7 |
22-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
11 |
11 |
Frogman Mel |
4.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
Scr |
6A |
6 |
Svindahl |
0.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
|
12 |
10 |
Kitty Fredo |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
14A |
14 |
Our Emerald Forest (IRE) |
0.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Marsden |
12.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
|
1 |
6 |
Top Prospect |
2.50 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Put It Forward |
8.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Thurgood |
20.00 |
7.1 |
14-1 |
|
10 |
9 |
Odlum |
3.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Love to Prospect |
12.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Some Promises |
20.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Bestavailable |
2.00 |
9.6 |
18-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Lieutenant Dale |
30.00 |
10.3 |
19-1 |
Scr |
13 |
13 |
Therestishistory |
15.00 |
11.3 |
21-1 |
Scr |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.