August 19, 2017 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bucky Goldstein | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Inhibition | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hoppitty | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Real McCann | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dare to Believe | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Drum Roll Please | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Southern Thunder | 4.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Second Gear | 12.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Lord Simba | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | American Pastime | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Coastline | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Taman Guard | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Distinctive B | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Prime Issue | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | At Ease | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rare Candy | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fritz Johansen | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Record Highs | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | El Tovar | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Calvert Street | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Incredible Luck | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Love My Bud | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Oopper Wallah | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | True Ranger | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Farmer | 0.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 8 | Special Story | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Aeon | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Tribal Roar | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Midnight Harbor | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Summer Buddha | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mt. Leinster | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Rockin My Mojo | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Stand Up Stand Out | 20.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Troublewithatee | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Aussie Fox | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lucky Soul | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Indoctrination (IRE) | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cascade Rock (IRE) | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Potent | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Langham | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Icy Street | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Saltini | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bacoli | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Taniko | 12.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Malibu Music | 8.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bryan Habana (ARG) | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | D D’s Lute | 12.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tyfosha | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mapit | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Crownstone | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Our Slick Chick | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dr. Ann | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Moonshine Memories | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shaken Memories | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Conformation | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Del Mar H. Presented By The Japan Racing Association
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Ashleyluvssugar | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Flamboyant (FR) | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Itsinthepost (FR) | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Big John B | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Liam the Charmer | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Monster Bea | 20.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Mr. Roary | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Hunt (IRE) | 3.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Inordinate | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | He Will | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Up With the Birds | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Prime Attraction | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Editore (BRZ) | 30.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – $1 Million Tvg Pacific Classic S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Arrogate | 1.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Collected | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Accelerate | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Donworth | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Hard Aces | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Royal Albert Hall (GB) | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Curlin Road | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sorry Erik | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Americanize | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Edwards Going Left | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rockin Rudy | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Street Vision | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tell Me a Story | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | The Rule of King’s | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Big League | 8.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nardo | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dangerfield | 5.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Magic Taste | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Airlite | 15.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Del Mar Oaks Presented By The Jockey Club
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Madam Dancealot (IRE) | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Storm the Hill | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Dream Dancing | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Pacific Wind | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Beau Recall (IRE) | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pistol Packin Rose | 0.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Con Te Partiro | 3.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Meadowsweet | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blame It On Alphie | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kenda | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Tapped | 8.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Kathy’s Song | 15.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Vexatious | 8.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Bernina Star | 30.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Jabber Now | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Hailey Rachele | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Laynee | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Powder | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Meet and Greet | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 8 | Bella Sierra | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Warm It Up | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Hope She Will | 4.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Paula With a P | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Unusually Stylish | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.