August 19, 2017 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Spectacular Act | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Laflowmylaxbro | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Orcus | 1.40 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Poker Player | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Broadway Brett | 2.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Eben Zabeel | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Speed Devil | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jean Elizabeth | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Strollin the Bayou | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Julie Be Quick | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dancing Nora | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ensign | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Dr. Move | 1.20 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ya Mon | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Hansen Gone West | 1.80 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Cocos Eddy | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Greeleys Spirit | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ready to Fight | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 1 | Waiting On Thunder | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Call Me Handsome | 12.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Christian C | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wicked Stride | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Intrepid Humor | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mr Dewey | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Imposing Will | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Justice Prevails | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Golden Dart | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chicago Blues | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gray Dude | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fleetway | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fort Dixie | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wild Scat Blue | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Saidtomyself | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Carnoustie | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Espressa | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Turbo Shaft | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kantastic | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Outrank | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kuringai | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Fonda Romana | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Scoreearlyandoften | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Don’t Hold Queens | 30.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Milliner | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sacred Legacy | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Find Silver | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | All Strikes | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Stormy Atlantis | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Gold Star Kid | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | With a Vengeance | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Yenisey | 20.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Hazza | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Kit Check | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gary Luke | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Maxus | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Cheers to Us | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Reap | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Just Jim | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | High On Sugar | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Greyt Oak | 8.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Razorback Blend | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Outside In | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.