August 18, 2017 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Aim Straight |
3.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Gavin Streetsense |
1.20 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
True Arch |
8.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Determined Nation |
5.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Jo Way Java |
10.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
R Lucifer |
8.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Legend Keeper |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
8 |
6 |
So Innocent |
2.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Richie’s Lady |
15.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Smart Throb |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Citizen by Day |
3.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Love in Excess |
20.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
0 |
Brainchild |
3.50 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
Scr |
7 |
0 |
Blase |
6.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Jumpstartmyheart |
8.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Goodbyeseeulater |
1.20 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Harbor Breeze |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Mongolian King |
4.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Greek God |
5.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Whiskey Sour |
10.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Turbin |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
D N A Approved |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Holiday Mousse |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Matador |
2.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Great Harbour Cay |
4.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
3 |
0 |
Popsracer |
15.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
To Dare |
2.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
11 |
5 |
Fantasize |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
9 |
0 |
Kitty Fredo |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
Scr |
6 |
0 |
Teflon Tony |
6.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
Scr |
7 |
0 |
Sweet Liam |
6.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
Scr |
5 |
4 |
Dennis’ Diamond |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
10 |
0 |
Broad Axe Bernie |
8.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
Scr |
12 |
0 |
Storm Net |
10.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
Scr |
8 |
0 |
Therestishistory |
20.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
5 |
Gimme Kimmy |
5.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Honor and Blessing |
3.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
8 |
6 |
Cotton Princess |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
6 |
0 |
Notable Game |
3.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
Scr |
4 |
3 |
Madam Alex |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
2 |
0 |
Pledge of Love |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
Scr |
5 |
4 |
Airlie’s Diamond |
4.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Tac Up |
12.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
0 |
Janine Melnitz |
2.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Tenggara |
12.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
4 |
2 |
Intractable |
4.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
5 |
3 |
Beaches N Bourbon |
3.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
8 |
4 |
Expect a Kitten |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
7 |
0 |
Angel of Love |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
Scr |
3 |
0 |
Fed Up Fired Up |
6.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
Scr |
9 |
5 |
Aphrodite’s Quest |
15.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
6 |
0 |
Move Over Honey |
15.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
6 |
Mr. Smarty Pants |
2.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Tymochtee Creek |
12.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Soloist |
5.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Glenn’s Caper |
4.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
3 |
0 |
Mike the Tiger |
15.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Royal Hussar |
1.80 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
On a Positive Note |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
0 |
All I Karabout |
4.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
Scr |
8 |
5 |
Early Grey |
10.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
10 |
7 |
Earned It |
3.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
1 |
0 |
Slippery Slope |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
Scr |
4 |
2 |
Balfe’s Corner |
4.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
7 |
4 |
Fusion Xchange |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
13 |
0 |
Bowsprit |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
Scr |
9 |
6 |
Hail the General |
30.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
6 |
3 |
Jump Ship |
5.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Smartness |
20.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
|
3 |
0 |
Thoristic |
3.50 |
10.8 |
20-1 |
Scr |
11 |
0 |
What Gives |
30.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
Scr |
14 |
9 |
Cute as a Button |
10.00 |
11.3 |
21-1 |
|
12 |
8 |
Buzzworthy |
30.00 |
13 |
25-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Roethlisberger |
8.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Abercorn |
15.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Leather Goods |
2.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Apollo Landing |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Stay Home |
1.80 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Kopper Wired |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Wild Dynaformer |
3.50 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
3 |
Greek Prince |
12.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
1 |
0 |
On Tenterhooks |
3.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
Scr |
3 |
0 |
Giles Fair |
15.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
Scr |
10 |
0 |
Liquid Aloha |
6.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
Scr |
7 |
0 |
He’s One Wild Dude |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
Scr |
8 |
4 |
Vakeesh |
12.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
4 |
2 |
Chateau de Vizille |
4.50 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
9 |
5 |
A Max |
30.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
6 |
0 |
Threeohtwocassie |
4.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
Scr |
2 |
1 |
Jump Jive an Wail |
6.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
12 |
4 |
Sing Praises |
3.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
1A |
5 |
Puturseatbelton |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
3 |
0 |
Mr. Stream |
15.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
Scr |
7 |
0 |
M C Squared |
3.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
Scr |
10 |
0 |
Grand Old Game |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
Scr |
2 |
0 |
Our Independence |
2.50 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
Scr |
11 |
3 |
Dom the Bomb |
20.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
8 |
1 |
Evolution |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
9 |
0 |
Liberal Spin |
12.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
Scr |
1 |
2 |
Came Back |
6.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
|
5 |
0 |
Demon Buster |
12.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
Scr |
4 |
0 |
King Gatto |
8.00 |
11.5 |
22-1 |
Scr |
6 |
0 |
Merry’s Honor |
15.00 |
11.5 |
22-1 |
Scr |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.