August 18, 2017 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Blue Anchor | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Opportunist | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kaabraaj | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Karma King | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Iron Rob | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Aglimpseofgabby | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | New Karma | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Gosofar | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sir Studleigh | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Vegas Vic | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Desert Law | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | My Friend Tony | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dial Me In | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Morgan S. | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Thank My Buddy | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tule Fog | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 7 | Del Mar Ann | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Liar’s Smoker | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Backintheacademy | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | An Unusual Group | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Lob City | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Kennedie Sky | 4.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Joyable | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mint Julep Taffy | 0.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 6 | Scatterling (IRE) | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Award It | 6.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Well Caught (IRE) | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Ryder’s Starlight | 15.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Peggy Sue’s Loose | 0.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | Scr |
| 14 | 11 | Ragazza Di Vola | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Take Charge Deputy | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Raven Creek | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Katzumoto | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nova | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jersey’s Heat | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fast as Cass | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | My Boo | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dynamic Duo | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Campaigner | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ministersdontparty | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Buck Duane | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Start a Runnin | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Packin Heat | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Accountability | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Popular Kid | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dr. Troutman | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | The Big Train | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Plate Side | 8.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dano’s Dream | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kings River King | 4.50 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ibon | 8.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Elegant Tanner | 12.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Jen’s Journey | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Hawk’s Eyes (BRZ) | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Prohibition | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Pat the Bear | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Winning Causeway | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 5 | London Legacy | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nagys Piggy Bank | 3.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Hackleton | 0.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 8 | Fight Thru | 2.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | He’saruler | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Changing Karma | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Accelerant | 0.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 13 | 10 | Proudtobesicilian | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Big Finish | 30.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | David R. | 20.00 | 12.9 | 24-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Green Flash H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Richard’s Boy | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jimmy Bouncer | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | St. Joe Bay | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Rocket Heat | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Guns Loaded | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Krsto Skye | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shrewd Move | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | K Thirty Eight | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tribalist | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Horse Laugh | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gutsy Ruler | 15.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Zap Again | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 4 | Make It a Triple | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Big Hearted | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Buckner | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Spectacular One | 0.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 14 | 14 | The Real McCann | 0.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Shadow Op | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Dare to Believe | 0.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Supreme Giant | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Moon Zapper | 6.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Manning | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Christaki | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Washington Road | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Doheny Don | 0.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | Scr |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.