August 17, 2017 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Friend of Liberty | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Clairvoyant Lady | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | She’s Stunning | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Honor Way | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Courtmewithcarats | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tainted Angel | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Easy Way Out | 2.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Saratoga Colonel | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Brooklyn Speights | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Run for Boston | 0.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Big Auk | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Clonedsimmard | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Heat Check | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4A | 4 | Victory’s Cash | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Doublins Double | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 11A | 11 | You Like That | 0.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fleet Admiral | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 1 | Oh So Sinister | 8.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Looking At U Kid | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sail Ahoy | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Raagheb | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Thebigfundamental | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Securitiz | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Doyouknowsomething | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rprettyboyfloyd | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Crazy About Jazz | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mojo’s Queen | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Flying Point | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Asian’s Way | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Queen of Spades | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Veil Dance | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mo Promise | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Janneydancer | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Laura’s Patriot | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jazzy Juder | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dreamy Margarita | 2.50 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Can’tcatchtheraxx | 20.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3A | 3 | Looking Ready | 0.00 | 0.8 | 1-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Royal Power | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Dark Ops | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Smokin Platinum | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Panama Ed | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Paynter’s Prize | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 12A | 12 | Mr. Hot Rocks | 0.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Perfectexpectation | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sea Foam | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rollo Lothbrok | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Scrutinize | 30.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 8 | Buss the Bell | 30.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Beasley | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Classic Cotton | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Magnifier | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Time Will Tell | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Grumpelstiltskin | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gorgeous Charli | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Hard Scramble | 3.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Strong Yen | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Summer Luck | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Never Grow Old | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Awesome Boss | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Crimson Frost | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Rimanisempreforte | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Taperge | 2.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Initiate | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jonquil | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 11 | Stay Fond | 2.50 | 8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Warrior Hall | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Two Hot Betty | 15.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Union Avenue S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Clipthecouponannie | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hot City Girl | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 9 | She’s All Ready | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Myfourchix | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Quezon | 1.80 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Absatootly | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Picco Uno | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Wonderment | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Court Dancer | 5.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Frosty Margarita | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Tayler’s the Boss | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | Scr |
| 15A | 15 | Under Suspicion | 0.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Carrera Cat | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 9A | 9 | Held Accountable | 0.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 9 | Scatback | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Pound Note | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sayonara Rose | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Centr of the Stage | 8.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Toquette | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Willie U | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Pretty River | 3.50 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Rapid Route | 3.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 7 | Straw Hat | 12.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Reyana Reya Delite | 4.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Queen Courage | 20.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 | Scr |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.