August 17, 2017 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Kristie’s Heart | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Where’s the D | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Papa Mambo | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Be a Lady | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Southern Treasure | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Altaira | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Papa Turf | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shackleford Banks | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Over Achiever | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jonny’s Choice | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sense of Glory | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ground Rules | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Muchos Besos | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Paddy Jean | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tiz Bailee | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Preacher | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Relentless Miss | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Arch of Troy | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Fast Bid (IRE) | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Gift Giver Linda | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Specter | 4.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 9 | Lady Acclamation | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dedication | 10.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Jensen | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sidepocket Champ | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sindys Luck | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Getoffmyback | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gunslinger | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | What We Doing | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Prince of Silver | 20.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Zarqa Star | 5.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Strong Values | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Giro Candito | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bullet Express | 12.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Super Patriot | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Sophie Grace | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Silverspun Pickup | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | My Claw | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Callie Mesa | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | California Jewels | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sing a Solo | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | It’s About Alex | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 8 | Star of Kobol | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Easy Song | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Jennyway U Want It | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sea Smoke | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Moonshine Annie | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lethal Legacy | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Pi Romancer | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Aflewency | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Noted and Quoted | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Avicii | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Fact of Life | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Run for Retts | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Auntjenn | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Cuddle Alert | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bitzka | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Dis Smart Cat | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Go Ghetto | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Harrovian | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Marq One | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Rick’s Dream | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Alpha Uno | 0.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Sumday Sumday | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fall Harvest | 3.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big Day Tomorrow | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Humid | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | You’ll Be Lucky | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Second Gear | 0.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Wonderoveryonder | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.