August 17, 2017 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Iter | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | What’s Up Dude | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | G. C. Crackerjack | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Spectacular Road | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | River Cactus | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Navy Seabee | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Matthew’s Thunder | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Homer | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Summer Sweet | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Crafty’s Way | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lunar Lullaby | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Martlet | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Evasive Storm | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Domina | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Dayin Deauville | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hollarforadollar | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mrs. Appeal | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | My Little Darlings | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Je Suis Belle | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Royal Seven | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Galehorn | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fahionably Late | 5.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Hawk’s Image | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hey Pretty Boy | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gorgeous George | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Boom Box | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | In the Chamber | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bootleggin | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Solar Flair | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cadet Captain | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shanghai Red | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cruachan | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wildwood’s Afleet | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | West Ghost | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fatty Langbein | 4.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Super Soldier | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Peej | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Always a Catch | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Bold Rally | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Letthebigshot Roll | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Resilient Rick | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Montana Kid | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Wayaway | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Call Me Courageous | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Fifth and Market | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Launch Away | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Mama Trace | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Lakota Rose | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Twilight Warrior | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Hide and Street | 3.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Keturah | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Precious Kowgirl | 1.20 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Zosia | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Disrespectful | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Glimmer of Light | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Gritty Kitty | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tizamint | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Greeleys Angel | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.