August 16, 2017 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Little Bit Lovely | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Not too Shiny | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Passionate Emotion | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pragmatical | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wedding Blush | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Time for Ebby | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Song of Ekati | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Candyman Garret | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Dramatic Ride | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wild Verse | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Charming Gent | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lombo | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Midnight Run | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Alphadar | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Indriya | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lajatico (GB) | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sturdy One | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Snow Cloud (IRE) | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cuyathy | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Easy Grader | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | My Dynamo | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lucky With You | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Trickonomics | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sunday Nap | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Joshuas Glory | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Bolster | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Decarchy Dawn | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Reverend Al | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | King Darius | 20.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Southern Freedom | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Unusual Taste | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | To the Bar | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ebadan (IRE) | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Conquest Sabre Cat | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Seeking the West | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sky Preacher | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Abbey Vale (IRE) | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Terrys Tom Cat | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Anita G. | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jill Madden | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Honor Maker | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Sassy Ashley | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Zanab | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Lady Cloud | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hennessy Storm | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Coronado Cool | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ocean Dream | 6.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Reinahermosa | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | She Began Again | 0.00 | 9 | 17-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Ctt And Toc H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Goldy Espony (FR) | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Place des Vosges | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dreamarcher | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Decked Out | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Dynamic Mizzes K | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Hiking | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Ginga (ARG) | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Responsibleforlove (IRE) | 4.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | You’re A Goat (GB) | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Kiss Me Now (BRZ) | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Hotsy Dotsy | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Of Note | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Oh Scatty Oh | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Quiet No More | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Amaranta | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Colonel Peggy Sue | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chileanna | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Champagne Elegance | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Blue Over You | 5.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Riverka | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.