August 12, 2017 Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Tour to Glory |
3.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Greencastle Tap |
3.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Fools Rushin |
4.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Goose Town |
4.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Prospect Point |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Lanoiton |
15.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Skippy’s Strike |
6.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Tracy Racy |
3.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Shimmering Dream |
4.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Aceituna |
2.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Glitzy Lady |
10.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Kid Wallstreet |
15.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Go Cubs Go |
8.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Hidden Lullaby |
12.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Street Citi |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Holy Devine |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Kela’n It |
15.00 |
8.9 |
17-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Iowa Breeders’ Oaks
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Theperfectvow |
1.60 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
My Miss Kallie |
8.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Bossy Em |
4.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Ryrysweetie |
15.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Runfastandloud |
10.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
My Sister Madi |
4.50 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Kinley Cash |
5.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Shesaliljokester |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Iowa Sorority S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Msbrooklynbrawler |
1.60 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
One Last Empress |
3.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Jack’s Party Girl |
4.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Clear Creedence |
3.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Secret Voodoo |
15.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Fire to Rain |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Dan Johnson Sprint S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Scrutinizer |
2.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Xavier Davey |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Basic Chance |
3.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Itsallaboutyou |
5.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Edge of Ackworth |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Cornfed |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Rootie Tourtie |
8.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Iowa Native |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
9 |
8 |
Lovethatcause |
3.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Caesartheruler |
4.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Dreamin My Dream |
8.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Oprah’s Ranger |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Take Me Up Brady |
5.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Major Kelly |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Native Honor |
10.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Sho Poke |
20.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Zombie |
8.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Iowa Breeders’ Derby
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
8 |
8 |
King Deuce |
3.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Shweet Persuasion |
3.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Molleck |
10.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Han Sense |
1.80 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Wonderful Dancer |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Lovin’ the Rush |
8.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Awesome Gordo |
12.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Romeo’s Storm |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Iowa Cradle S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Tin Badge |
1.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Lucky Perfection |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Cowboys Ransome |
8.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Frosted Jewel |
10.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Sure Fire Friend |
4.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Artie’s Rumor |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Shatterenthestars |
15.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Governor Terry E. Branstad S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Matchlock |
6.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Net Gain |
2.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
One Fine Dream |
3.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
No Holds Barred |
3.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Count N Gold |
12.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Spring d’Oro |
8.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Bratty Paddy |
10.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Paddy Party |
15.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Donna Reed S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Mywomanfromtokyo |
1.60 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Kera Kera |
12.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Wait N C Spring |
10.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
It’s the Swede |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Native Princess |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Camy Award |
12.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Foxy Fleda |
8.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Zella Rose |
6.00 |
7.1 |
14-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Native Wonder |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Fast Machine |
15.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Disqualified |
15.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.