August 12, 2017 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Spinyatta | 1.60 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Californiasummer | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Wicked Old Fashion | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pretty Expensive | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Malena | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Atchafalaya | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Silken Road | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 3 | Next Speaker | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Airfoil | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | G. A. Betting | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Casuality | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | He’s a Tiger | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 1 | Frac Candy | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pedro Cerrano | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Girl Downstairs | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Dragon Fly (GB) | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nodiac (IRE) | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Barleysugar (IRE) | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Space Cadet | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gone to Bali | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Amy Jean | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | La Galy | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rizzi’s Honors | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | You’re the Reason | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sweetwater Gal | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | So Heres the Thing | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Quality Kay | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tiz Pleasant | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Pattin for a Dance | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ghost Lady | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Alley Boss | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Forest Blue | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Where Y’at Joe Joe | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Masterful Stride | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Los Borrachos | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Logan’s Moon | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Stoneys Mr Cruiser | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Best Two Minutes | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Jet Set Man | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chief Hosa | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | A New Trend | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cal Cal Li Gowchis | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tomasino | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Salient | 5.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fire to the Wire | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Eichel | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Where’s Bubba | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Versante | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Steph Being Steph | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | She’s Funny | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Chatty | 20.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fantastic Girl | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 8 | Ms Bad Behavior | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Piedi Bianchi | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mischievious Lass | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Sudden Light | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Beyond Pleasure | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Majestic Authority | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Astro Gal | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Fortune of War (GB) | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Comma Sister | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Master Merion | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Caribou Club | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kencumin (FR) | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ritzy A. P. | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Harbour Master (GB) | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ready To Roc (IRE) | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Taki’s Choice | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Iron Alex | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Best Pal S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Serengeti | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Run Away | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Arawak | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | An Ocala Ten | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fleetwood | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dia de Pago | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Master Ruler | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Armour Plate | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Graycaster | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Kazan (IRE) | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 14 | 14 | Croatian | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Pubilius Syrus | 4.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Arch Anthem | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Respect the Hustle | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Neighborhood Bully | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Canadian Warrior | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Big Buzz | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Data Central | 3.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | He’s Like Violence | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Rockaway (IRE) | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Landonese | 8.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Falcone | 12.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.