Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, August 12, 2017

August 12, 2017 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 Spinyatta 1.60 1.4 3-1
7 5 Californiasummer 4.00 1.7 3-1
6 4 Wicked Old Fashion 4.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Pretty Expensive 2.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Malena 20.00 4.3 8-1 Scr
5 5 Atchafalaya 20.00 5.3 10-1 Scr
4 3 Silken Road 20.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6 3 Next Speaker 2.50 2.3 4-1
5 2 Airfoil 3.50 3 6-1
7 4 G. A. Betting 6.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Casuality 12.00 4 8-1 Scr
3 3 He’s a Tiger 8.00 4.3 8-1 Scr
4 1 Frac Candy 4.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Pedro Cerrano 3.00 5.4 10-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 Girl Downstairs 2.50 1.1 2-1
5 5 Sweet Dragon Fly (GB) 6.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Nodiac (IRE) 2.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Barleysugar (IRE) 3.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Space Cadet 6.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Gone to Bali 8.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
8 8 Amy Jean 12.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 La Galy 4.50 3.4 6-1
3 3 Rizzi’s Honors 2.50 3.6 7-1
10 9 You’re the Reason 12.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Sweetwater Gal 3.50 5.4 10-1
5 5 So Heres the Thing 6.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Quality Kay 5.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Tiz Pleasant 20.00 6.4 12-1 Scr
2 2 Pattin for a Dance 12.00 8.9 17-1
4 4 Ghost Lady 20.00 9.6 18-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
8 6 Alley Boss 5.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Forest Blue 2.50 3.1 6-1 Scr
7 7 Where Y’at Joe Joe 5.00 3.9 7-1 Scr
2 2 Masterful Stride 15.00 4.1 8-1
6 5 Los Borrachos 3.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Logan’s Moon 5.00 5.4 10-1
5 4 Stoneys Mr Cruiser 10.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Best Two Minutes 10.00 6.1 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 Jet Set Man 3.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Chief Hosa 4.50 2.1 4-1
6 6 A New Trend 6.00 3.4 6-1
9 9 Cal Cal Li Gowchis 20.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Tomasino 3.50 5 9-1
3 3 Salient 5.00 6.1 12-1
7 7 Fire to the Wire 20.00 7.3 14-1
8 8 Eichel 6.00 7.6 14-1
5 5 Where’s Bubba 30.00 7.9 15-1
10 10 Versante 12.00 9.1 17-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 Steph Being Steph 5.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 She’s Funny 3.00 1.9 4-1
10 9 Chatty 20.00 2.4 5-1
8 8 Fantastic Girl 5.00 2.7 5-1 Scr
9 8 Ms Bad Behavior 5.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Piedi Bianchi 4.50 3.4 6-1
11 11 Mischievious Lass 6.00 4.9 9-1 Scr
1 1 Sudden Light 20.00 5 9-1
3 3 Beyond Pleasure 3.50 5.4 10-1
6 6 Majestic Authority 20.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Astro Gal 20.00 6.1 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 Fortune of War (GB) 6.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Comma Sister 10.00 3.1 6-1
10 10 Master Merion 4.50 3.9 7-1
3 3 Caribou Club 3.50 4.4 8-1
1 1 Kencumin (FR) 4.00 5 9-1
6 6 Ritzy A. P. 6.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Harbour Master (GB) 8.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Ready To Roc (IRE) 15.00 7.7 15-1
8 8 Taki’s Choice 10.00 8 15-1
4 4 Iron Alex 20.00 9.1 17-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Best Pal S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 Serengeti 1.80 1.6 3-1
1 1 Run Away 1.60 1.9 4-1
7 7 Arawak 4.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 An Ocala Ten 15.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Fleetwood 10.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Dia de Pago 20.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Master Ruler 15.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Armour Plate 10.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
13 13 Graycaster 3.00 1.1 2-1 Scr
5 5 Kazan (IRE) 2.50 2.3 4-1 Scr
14 14 Croatian 10.00 5.7 11-1 Scr
4 4 Pubilius Syrus 4.50 6.1 12-1
7 6 Arch Anthem 5.00 6.7 13-1
10 9 Respect the Hustle 12.00 7.3 14-1
11 10 Neighborhood Bully 10.00 7.6 14-1
6 5 Canadian Warrior 20.00 7.6 14-1
8 7 Big Buzz 12.00 7.9 15-1
2 2 Data Central 3.00 8.1 15-1
12 12 He’s Like Violence 20.00 8.7 16-1 Scr
1 1 Rockaway (IRE) 20.00 9 17-1
3 3 Landonese 8.00 9.4 18-1
9 8 Falcone 12.00 11 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.