August 11, 2017 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Shakesperian Dream | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Midnight Bounty | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kate Is a Ten | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | La Inesperada | 1.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sweetneida | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Perina’s Pride | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 8 | Dynamic War | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Delightful Lana | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 7 | Front Row Debbie | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lion in Wait | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Maddy’s Way | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Barstool Warrior | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Artistic Quality | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | More Than a Legend | 4.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | French Dressing | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Mama’s Red Hat | 30.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Summer Falls (IRE) | 15.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Alaskan Prince | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Kristofferson | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Final Encore | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Blue Belt | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Holding Aces | 1.60 | 4.8 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | First Goal | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 1 | Lone Trader | 2.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Jewel Heist | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Swift One | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Play Big | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Star Empire (GB) | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hard Hitter | 1.60 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pirellone | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sir Maurice | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shut Your Trappe | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Pocket Book | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 12 | My New Daughter | 30.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Bridaled Temper | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Wild N Ready | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Girl’s Night | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Latrevo | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tropical Wave | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | La Contessa | 5.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Cyrielle | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Romantic Babe | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Fairy Link | 30.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Reiltin Oir | 30.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | D’funnything | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bookman | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cerretalto | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Benevolence | 1.60 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Terry O Geri | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gaming | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Set Me Up | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bartleby | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Massena | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Filius Scat | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 13 | 13 | Big Auk | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 8 | Dooley | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Wondermeister | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Jumpinjack | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Intern | 30.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Heat Check | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Pence | 3.50 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Uncle Chester | 6.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Victory’s Cash | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Oh So Sinister | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Tale Of The Cat S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Weekend Hideaway | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Loose On the Town | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Candip | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cadeyrn | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Candid Desire | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stallwalkin’ Dude | 1.40 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chief Lion | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Objective Complete | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | High Jingo | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Sandy Belle | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Catch Your Dreams | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Town Fair | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Frost Wise | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Sharp Lacey | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tough Old Bird | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kinky Sox | 6.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Icy Girl | 20.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Maximus Beauty | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 13 | 13 | Crimson Frost | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 9 | Prado Vision | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Weekend Hottie | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | War Canoe | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Say Cin Cin | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Cashless Society | 2.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cape Fear | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stormy Alexis (IRE) | 3.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Madame Barbarian | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cap’s Vow | 12.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | That Warrior Girl | 30.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Saratoga by Design | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Katina Got Even | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 | Scr |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.