August 10, 2017 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Silly Factor | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Black Angel | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Shezahotmama | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Lookforasmile | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Warrioress | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Hope N Wishes | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Romancin N Dancin | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Larissa’s Love | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Daddy’s Memory | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Exquisite Lady | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pinkchampagneonice | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Supercede | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | High Heel Lady | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Posh Ruler | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Pablo Del Monte | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pale Hose | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cashel Rock | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bajan Rhythm | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bill’s Production | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Midnight Blue Note | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Strike Quiet | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Bump Bump | 30.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Allaire | 1.20 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Quick Study | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Holy Plan | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fahionably Late | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Don’t Tell Mom | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sullyvin’s G G | 5.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Daddy’s Wildflower | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Prince Cheval | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bull Market Richie | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Gold Hawk | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fort Aiken | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Poker Player | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Theghostbdancing | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 7 | Paddybdancing | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Leon Robert | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Spectacular Act | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Exximia (ARG) | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Heir Ball | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Greeley’s Demon | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Polar Air | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | La Activa | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Away to Town | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hal’s Mischief | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Looktheotherway | 5.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Midnite in Miami | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Annie Time Girl | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Karenina | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Fabriana | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | I Call | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Muskrat Love | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Romantic Attack | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 4 | Amour | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mikayla Attack | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | I’ve Got Issues | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.