August 9, 2017 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tiki Bar Logic | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Warrior Vixen | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Christmas Carol | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bridal Arch | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Of Note | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Grace Hopper | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Night Launch | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Air Pocket | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Monterey Shale | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Real Big Deal | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dream Police | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Woody’s Folly | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Seal Six | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Radio Silent | 2.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Antinanco | 20.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Send a Buck | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | On the Right | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | For Him | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Davka | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Frankie Machine | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Ima Take Charge | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | World Wide Blame | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Madi’s Thunderbird | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Alcalde | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Dixie Chick Rocks | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Besides the Point | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Victory Seeker | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Love Winning | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Todos Santos | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Maz Kanata | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pay Or Play | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | She’sluckythatway | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Just Be Held | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tina’s Exchange | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wit and Wisdom | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mr Vargas | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Milhaud | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Zipman | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | King Caymus | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Little Juanito | 3.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 11 | Awesome Heights | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 10 | Puig | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Hes Knot Unusual | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hardcore Troubador | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lucky Whalen | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lady Bellamy | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Candy Boss | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Social Taboo | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pied N True | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vallestina | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Furious Fire | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Demigoddess | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Royal Astronomer | 20.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | That’s a Lady | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rosie My Rosie | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Midnight Lilly | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mistressofthenight | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Allsquare | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Utana | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Candy Swirls | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Just a Little Hope | 3.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Reiki Baby | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Ryderroo | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Ebony Cat | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Smil’n From Above | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Irish Dame | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rockantharos | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Marynetta | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Altaira | 3.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Briana Jean | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Public House | 6.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Part of My Heart | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Aloha Ke Akua | 30.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.