August 6, 2017 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7A | 7 | Sir Bond | 0.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Cocked and Loaded | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | I Stand Alone | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Global Positioning | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 3 | Lucky Lotto | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Are We Not Men | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2A | 2 | Manipulated | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | All About Ashley | 3.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Set the Trappe | 4.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 10 | Lyrical Miracle | 0.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Wild and Funny | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Reality Queen | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Emmport | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Escapade | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | City Day | 3.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 8 | Soldat House | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Moolah Schmoolah | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 12 | Oldfashioned Style | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 16 | 16 | Critique | 5.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Matty’s Magnum | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 13 | 13 | Cyrielle | 6.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 9 | You People | 3.50 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Golden Orb | 5.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 10 | Lady Margaret | 15.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Daddy Is a Legend | 8.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Delta House | 20.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Alydar S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Breaking Lucky | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Red Rifle | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Rally Cry | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mohaymen | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mo Tom | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Conquest Windycity | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | Summer Mischief | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Follow the Signs | 0.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Ides of Arch | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8A | 8 | Surface Strike | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10A | 10 | Silky Way | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Appealing Briefs | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 4 | Hoboe | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Artic Storm Cat | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Prince Reigner | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 1 | Slewacandy | 4.50 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Millies Party Boy | 4.50 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10A | 10 | Silly Sister | 0.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Cozzy Spring | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Zippity Zoom | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Moondance Joy | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 3A | 3 | Startwithsilver | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Fire Key | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sister Sophia | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Rip Loves Maize | 20.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | E Warfare | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Another Genius | 3.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Everybody Loves Me | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 10 | History Supreme | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Grand Tap | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Quick Quick Quick | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dessert Honeys | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Norma’s Charm | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Wine Halo | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mockery | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Smarty Smart | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Honey Graeme | 4.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ornamental Iron | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tied Up | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Princess Char | 4.50 | 7.6 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | My Bronx Tail | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Lady Ivanka | 5.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 14 | 14 | Money Purse | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Mutaraamy | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | May Be a Diamond | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Diamond Jim | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Holding Aces | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bar None | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Main Road | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Legal Precedent | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Reedini | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Luminary Flight | 15.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Asian’s Way | 8.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Saratoga Charlie | 30.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Bourbon Empire | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Ode to the Hunt | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shiraz | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Manifest Destiny | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jewel Can Disco | 1.80 | 4.9 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Yummy Bear | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Storm Prophet | 2.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | The Great Samurai | 20.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Nutzforboltz | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | E J’s Legacy | 5.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Peculiar Sensation | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | Bow Town Cat | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Royal Inheritance | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Stormy’s Song | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Luz Mimi | 0.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Sheplaysthefield | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6A | 6 | Tasteful | 0.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Anna Rae | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7A | 7 | Ladies Day | 0.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Libby’s Tail | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Troy H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Green Mask | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Weekend Hideaway | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 7 | Mongolian Saturday | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Doctor J Dub | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 6 | Bold Thunder | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Holding Gold | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pure Sensation | 1.80 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Undrafted | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Long On Value | 5.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Otto | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Harlan Punch | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Muhaawer | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Snag | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Kid Jeter | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Escape Velocity | 3.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Jo’s Bold Cat | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Unbroken Chain | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | The Money Train | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 9 | Bellows | 12.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Steamboat Bill | 10.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Son of Oahu | 8.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Bunyaan | 4.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | There Goes Ben | 12.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Discreet Encounter | 30.00 | 14.3 | 27-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Thirsty Donnerstag | 30.00 | 15.4 | 29-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.