August 6, 2017 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Old Man Lake | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Que Chistoso | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Freddies Dream | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Plain Wrap | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Senator Robert | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mo’vette | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Simmy’s Temple (GB) | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Holy Mosey | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Zuzanna | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tink’s Twirl | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Online Request | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Magical Lucy | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Glorious Venezuela | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Proud Heroine | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Halo Girl | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | My Princess Taylor | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Time to Play | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Baytown Juliet | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Gas Station Sushi | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Unchanged | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wish You Were Mine | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Broome | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Flat Out Sassy | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Atomic Rule | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lindante | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Banze No Oeste (BRZ) | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Buymeabond | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pepper Crown | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shackleford Banks | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Roaring Rule | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Graduation S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 8 | Drizzy | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Smokem | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sir Valentine | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Schulace | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Cono | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Bookies Luck | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Utah Ute | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Hit the Seam | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Continental Divide | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Don’t Stalk Me | 0.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 7 | Get Em Up Scout | 20.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Microrithms | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 9 | Hitters Park | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | David’s Memory | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Papa Papa Papa | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Bottle Rocket | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Gutsy Ruler | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | El Tovar | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Allaboutmike | 3.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Exotic Ghost | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Curly’s Waterfront | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 7 | Take the One O One | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Masco Yodeler | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Blackhawk Beauty | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Whoodat | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Nova | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Shackalov | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Irish Ballad | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 8 | Handsome Swede | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | King Eddie | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | General Interest | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – La Jolla H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Sharp Samurai | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Colonist | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Monster Man | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pioneer Lad | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Placido | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Caribou Club | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 7 | Double Touch (GB) | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fashion Business (GB) | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Offshore | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Remesses | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Colonial Power | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gato Dolce | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sunset Grill | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Vow’s Son | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Orejas | 5.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Moon Zapper | 4.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Whiskey Ginger | 3.50 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Supreme Giant | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 10 | Whata Guess | 10.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | True Force | 8.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Press Game | 30.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Contento | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rush to Paradise | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.