August 6, 2017 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Wildwood Ranger | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lemon Grove | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Flirtin Fool | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Indian Oaks | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Only Praise Me | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Princess Izabella | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Greeleys Delight | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | J Jett | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Reminisce | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sunset Gables | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Time for Parading | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | R Four O One K | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Livingston | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chosen Facts | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Chicago Blues | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Paddy Not Patty | 1.20 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Alsinaafy (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jax Heritage | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | R Fast Life | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | King of the Score | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Maxus | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Oathkeeper | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Highly Prized (GB) | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Half of Manhattan | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cortege | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Long Ago | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Specialeyes | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Malibu Royalty | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Don’t Tell Brandi | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Perfect Plus | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Moolamiss | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sugarsugarsugar | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sea Diva | 2.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ms. Big Cash | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | City of Justice | 20.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Whateverybodywants | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Roar of the Lion | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blue Sky Kowboy | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | No Boundaries | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Franklin County | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fort Dixie | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Memory Bank | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Shakurr | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bruce’s Boy | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | St. Peregrine | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Arabella Bella | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Roussalka | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | World Is My City | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bet She Wins | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mountain Momma | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | The Weef | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Aviating | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Real de Jalpa | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lemon Drop Twist | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cubs Win | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.