August 5, 2017 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Ticticboomdynamite |
5.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Purring Valentine |
1.60 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Miss Good Girl |
4.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Princess A’go Go |
10.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Miss Impazible |
3.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Lacey’s Lace |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Buddha Kai |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
3 |
Early Grey |
2.50 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
|
3A |
3 |
Cross Roads |
0.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
|
6A |
6 |
On the Wings Of |
0.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
|
4B |
4 |
Daniella |
0.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Scene of the Crime |
0.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
1 |
2 |
Holiday Hopes |
1.80 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
8B |
8 |
Accountable |
0.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Black Prong |
6.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Shackleton |
0.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Tiz Majesty |
12.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Preppy |
15.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
French Nouget |
2.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Sheet Lightning |
4.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Important |
1.60 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Thirsty Bandit |
15.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Hydro |
20.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
The Big Breakfast |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Hansel S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Special Envoy |
0.40 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
|
6 |
4 |
Speed Gracer |
4.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Mr. Magician |
15.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
|
7 |
5 |
Titan Alexander |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Jump Ship |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Dream of Peace |
30.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Virginia Royal |
30.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Camptown S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
8 |
7 |
Northern Eclipse |
4.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Do What I Say |
3.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Up Hill Battle |
20.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
9 |
7 |
Tiz Our Time |
3.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Why Not Be Queen |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Awake the Day |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Sister Says |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Ring Knocker |
4.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Weekend |
12.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
2 |
V. I. P. Code |
1.60 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Clouded Judgement |
6.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Owen’s Mo |
12.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Cades Cove Loop |
8.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Pferd Soldat |
20.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Saintly Samurai |
3.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
Scr |
2 |
1 |
Loud |
20.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Brighten My Day |
4.50 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Baltic Art (GER) |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
Scr |
7 |
5 |
Bealestreet Dancer |
3.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
|
10 |
8 |
How’s Your Sugar |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Dothat Dance |
4.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
|
9 |
7 |
Dattt Melody |
3.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Uncle Woodrow |
6.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
Scr |
11 |
9 |
Giles Fair |
30.00 |
7.1 |
14-1 |
|
8 |
6 |
Brucarita |
8.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Tennessee Wildcat |
12.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Tiz He the One |
10.00 |
9.3 |
18-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Wannabeaplayer |
20.00 |
9.6 |
18-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Meadow Stable S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
8 |
8 |
Lawyer Dave |
12.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
Scr |
4 |
3 |
Homespun Hero |
1.80 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
|
9 |
7 |
Tiz Our Time |
3.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Two Notch Road |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Awake the Day |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
Scr |
6 |
5 |
Why Not Be Queen |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Fly E Dubai |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Lime House Louie |
12.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Trustifarian |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Dance Or Stroll |
4.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
|
2A |
2 |
Ephesians Six |
0.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Little Stormin |
15.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
7 |
8 |
Analyzeyurspending |
5.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Deep Red |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Over You |
0.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
|
6A |
6 |
Dad’s City Girl |
0.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
|
1 |
2 |
Aunt Esther |
3.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – William M. Backer S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
5 |
Armoire |
1.80 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Secret Or Not |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Well Blessed |
15.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
Scr |
8 |
7 |
Complete St. |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Queen Caroline |
1.40 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Grace Is Ready |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Sweet Sandy |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Street Miz |
20.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Andrasta |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.