August 4, 2017 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Sand City | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Quick On the Draw | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Corey Q | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Burkey’s Babe | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mazmania | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Queen Katherina | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Lightworker | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | North Eight Street | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Luna Rising | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Talkn Til Midnight | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Bahnahno | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Freudee | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Little Miss Amy | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Only One Wish | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Switzerland | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sethary | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Beltany | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Uncle Pancho | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fully Vested | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Factorial | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Hardened | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Starlite Mission | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cartwheel | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pauseforthecause | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | My Roxy Girl | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Big Expense | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ogan’s Runner | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Reyana Reya Delite | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 7 | Team Colors | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Monster Bea | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Diversify | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 14 | 14 | Raagheb | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 3 | Forge (GB) | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Carve | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 6 | Catapult | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Schivarelli | 4.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 4 | Night Prowler | 4.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Scholar Athlete | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | Dancetrack | 8.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Line Judge | 6.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Backsideofthemoon | 20.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Changewilldoyagood | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8A | 8 | Free N Clear | 0.00 | 0.9 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Eloweasel | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Barrel of Dreams | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Style Drift | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Young Anna Lee | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5A | 5 | Weather Girl | 0.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Tizzelle | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | Iron Mizz | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Curtis | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | My Friend | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Star Empire (GB) | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Lifelong Dreamer | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Italian Syndicate | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ethan Hunt | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Great Ronaldo | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Conquest Sure Shot | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Petrov | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cavil | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Lenstar | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gray Sky | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pocket Square | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 7 | Portfolio Manager | 3.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Vincento | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Divine Interventio | 4.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cowboy’s Hero | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Silver Assault | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Riff Raff | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – National Museum Of Racing Hall Of Fame S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Arklow | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big Handsome | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Parlor | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Yoshida (JPN) | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Snap Decision | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bonus Points | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Caviar Czar (IRE) | 2.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Makarios | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bricks and Mortar | 2.50 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Secretary At War | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | There He Goes | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Calculated Risker | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Risky Sour | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Set Me Up | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 13 | 13 | Arthur Avenue | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Jegos Fire | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Mr. Massena | 4.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Kierland | 6.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Captain Kitt | 8.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rule Number One | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | Thenameescapesme | 12.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Big Auk | 30.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Heat Check | 20.00 | 11.9 | 22-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | You Like That | 20.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Frozen Daiquiri | 15.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Fleet Admiral | 30.00 | 14.3 | 27-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.