August 4, 2017 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Nothins Free | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Cute Knows Cute | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Streetwithnoname | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Omerta | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pasadena Princess | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Swanky Jas | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Stylitude | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sir Samson | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Street Vision | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Marvelous Kaos | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Quality Line | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Supreme Venture | 2.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fly to Mars | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Full Access | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Daisycutter H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Desert Steel | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Watch This Cat | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Long Hot Summer | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Anita Partner (IRE) | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bad Ju Ju | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Woodacouldadid | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Got an Obsession | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Smiling Tigress | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Goodlooknbroad | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Into Rissa | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | One Fast Broad | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | We Will Re Joyce | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Whatyouciswhatuget | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Fishel | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Elegant Street | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Zapana’s Game | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Beaumarchais | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Red King | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Run Like Rhett | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Member State (GB) | 3.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Seeking Bea | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Sahara Storm | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | This Town | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Upperclassman | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bucky Goldstein | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | First Responder | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Invasion Looming | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | South Americain | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Artistic Ab | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Taste’s Legend | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Certain Something | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tommy Grossman | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Klondike Creek | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Conquest Superstar | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Eckersley | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Buckys Pick | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Donji | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cowboy | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Burnaroundtheedges | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shortstormcoming | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tap On a Star | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Norwegian Spy | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Moonlite Madness | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 13 | 12 | Candee Topper | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Stormy Countess | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gypsy Treasure | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sweet Miss Derby | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Seaquet | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Knowitallhousewife | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Silic’s Angel | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Radio Chatter | 8.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Team Astrology | 4.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Angel in Flight | 20.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.