August 4, 2017 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sturn Donna | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Devout Type | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Precious Kowgirl | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gritty Kitty | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lil Scarlet Too | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Silvercityshaman | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Greeleys Angel | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Nate the Natural | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Cannes | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Arch Rivalry | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Saidtomyself | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | What’s On Tap | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Carnoustie | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Showersofblessings | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Fort Marsh | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Prairie Chick | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | My Darling Sofia | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Can She Scoot | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Posh Ruler | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Bits N Pieces | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | She’s Pretty Cute | 15.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | I’m a Lawman | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Flashdance Road | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bourbon Candy | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Roskilde | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gray Mensch | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Transfigured | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Harlanday | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sync O’Paddy | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rock Can Tour | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Smokin M’konahay | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Matthew’s Thunder | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Richiesgotswagger | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Savemethelastdance | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mias Moonbeam | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bulldog of Bergen | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stormin El Prado | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ya Mon | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Solanair | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Stefan O’Eishen | 1.60 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Another Richie | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Stormy Don | 30.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Waiting On Thunder | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ready to Fight | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 5 | Larry Rocks | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Wayaway | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Chantses | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kalispell | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 7 | Phyllis’s Flag | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Giant Mongolian | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Launch Away | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tizway That Way | 2.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Holy Cookie | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stay Spicy | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Daddy | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fist Full | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lasting Impact | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cruachan | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | The Gorilla Man | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fabulous Union | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | West Ghost | 2.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rich E Z | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Limeshare | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Chernyahovskiy | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.