August 3, 2017 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Stakes) – Mrs. Ogden Phipps S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | For Goodness Sake (IRE) | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Amnicalola | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Amazing Anthem | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Swoop | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sarah Joyce (IRE) | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Yeats (GB) | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wigwam Baby | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fall Colors | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Love You Dearly | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tapceptional | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Yonka | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Madeline’s Hope | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Thin Dress | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hansen’s Help | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Frost Delay | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Jacqueline D | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Iwishirish | 3.50 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Desert Affair | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | The Two Nancy’s | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Anna Liffey | 10.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | B J’s Valentine | 50.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Princess Mikayah | 20.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Hogy | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hey Jabber Jaw | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Big Rock | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Angry Moon | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Platinum Prince | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Anytime Anyplace | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Deuces High | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Harbor King | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7A | 7 | Royal Posse | 0.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Jet Black | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8A | 8 | Good Luck Gus | 0.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Beyond the Green | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | John’s Island | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Becker’s Galaxy | 2.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 8 | In the Mood | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Senza Te | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Card Club | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jean Elizabeth | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Bonnie Scot | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Blessings | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Reyana Reya Delite | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 6 | Tarawa | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Dreams Are Pazible | 2.50 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Warrior’s Silver | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mad Dog Matters | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | R Lucky Charm | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 9 | Lightning Dove | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Avery Maeve | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Hexameter | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | First Appeal | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | May Flowers | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Hoponthebusgus | 4.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Laniakea | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Wantagh Queen | 20.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Tiz Twice | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Hannah’s Smile | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Crimson Frost | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Defrock | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Signalpath | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Tamit (IRE) | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Proud Reunion | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Overnegotiate | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kahrumana | 2.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Into Summer | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Danceland | 5.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Enchanting Kitten | 4.50 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Majestic Bonnie | 12.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Colorful Charades | 15.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Birdstone S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Scuba | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hard Study | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Munjaz (GB) | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tu Brutus (CHI) | 1.40 | 3.6 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Sea Raven | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Archanova | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rum Tum Tugger | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Turco Bravo (CHI) | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9A | 9 | Iron Mane | 0.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Seize | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Pop the Hood | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Silver Assault | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 10 | Skyler’s Scramjet | 30.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Dream Mover (IRE) | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 14A | 14 | Hard Scramble | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Hold Me Black | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Banana Thief | 3.50 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 9 | Lord of Love | 8.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Whiskey Seven | 12.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Runaway Posse | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Polar Axis | 10.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Curious Cal | 12.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Got the Gist | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Majestic Mac | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Scarlett Jo Hansen | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Paz the Wine | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Zenbennie | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Wish Upon | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | My First Gal | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Patty Permits | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Lemongrass | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Freckle de Freck | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Passel | 30.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cetara | 20.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.