August 3, 2017 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Oltre’ Oro | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ghost to Ghost | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lights On Brite | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stranglehold | 1.40 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Khamsa Tfu | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Magic Command | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Chu Chu Johnnie | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Prince Abubu | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Demand Ransom | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lt Dan Attack | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Munney Heist | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Flight Mission | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Raisedonrocknroll | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | My Little Darlings | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Queen of Wildwood | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lady Dozer | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Appollos Baby Girl | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Fionetta | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Galehorn | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | La Candelita | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tell All You Know | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Singingintheheat | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shogood | 1.80 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Wake Up Joe | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Voodoo Spell | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Reigning Catfish | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | G P’s Girl | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Air Turbulence | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Goddess of Kip | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Yes Mongolia | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sperling | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sark Lady | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Six Gun Salute | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Divine Holiday | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Vinnardini | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gentleman Richie | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Navy Seabee | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cairn | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Way | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Aim to Tease | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Uncle Mo Money | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Alzanbaq | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Win D Prado | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | A Nice Slewish Boy | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Husky Clipper | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Candy Carlos | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stealthy Traveler | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Shaban | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bowknot Billy | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Laflowmylaxbro | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sea of Anarchy | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sudden Urges | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Just Another John | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hidden Ocean | 20.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Golden Touch | 6.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.