August 2, 2017 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Any Given Royal | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Unsinkable (IRE) | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Alcazar de Maram | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Personal Start | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kremlin | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Invocation (FR) | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Reporter | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Zio Elio | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Blaze’n Prospector | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fortuitous Path | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Toohottoevenspeak | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Avast Matey | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Top Brass | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sound the Horns | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Harlan Punch | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Cite | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Kabang | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nexrad | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shamcat | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | King of Spades | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Inventor’s Gate | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Carbon Data | 3.50 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Djulpan | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Long Night | 10.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Astounding | 3.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Going Strong | 2.50 | 9.6 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | He’s Cheeky | 10.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Little Miss Julia | 20.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 5 | Bon Heir | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Lady Paradime | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Call Her Karma | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Doinwhatshelikes | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Northern Screamer | 1.60 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jemmabelle | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 15 | Borsa Vento | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Ninety One Assault | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Let’s Get Loud | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Herecomesyourman | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Likeitlikethat | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | My Man Jax | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | River Deep | 4.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 10 | Mr. Smarty Pants | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Harlan’s Hunch | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wingman | 8.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Fastlanefrontman | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 12 | One Last Strike | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Markitoff | 12.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stan the Man | 12.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Leviathan | 15.00 | 13.6 | 26-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | O Captainmycaptain | 20.00 | 13.9 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Harkness | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Opined | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tiz Super | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Devine Union | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Presumptuous | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Parade | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Broad Stripes | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Uncle Sigh | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Iron Power | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Startup Nation | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Jet Black | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 12 | Dream Doctor | 12.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nevisian Sky | 4.50 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Good Luck Gus | 2.50 | 7.8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | West Hills Giant | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Birchwood Road | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | New York Song | 8.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | John’s Island | 3.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Mr Harlan | 8.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cliffs of Dover | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Spin Cycle | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Irish Prayer | 20.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Leaveematthegate | 15.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Church Social | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Violet Blue | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Just Got Out | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 8 | Lucky Long | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | La Manta Gris | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Flower Valley | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Majestic Trick | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Homeland Security | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Khaleesi Kat | 10.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Seafire (IRE) | 12.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Shine Again S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 7 | Wheatfield | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Clipthecouponannie | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Birdatthewire | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Carina Mia | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Going for Broke | 3.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Momameamaria | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Indulgent | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Pawleys Express | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Absatootly | 20.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Discreet Senorita | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Dats Her | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Big Expense | 0.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Purely Lucky | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Imperfect Union | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 10 | Carrera Cat | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Northernstreetgal | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 12 | Single Mission | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Unparalleled | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Codrington | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10A | 10 | Reyana Reya Dreams | 0.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | March X Press | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | New Pass | 3.50 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 13A | 13 | Reyana Reya Delite | 0.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Silverado Mist | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.