Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, July 30, 2017

July 30, 2017 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 2 Coach Matthew 6.00 2.7 5-1
7 6 Tipu Run 10.00 3 6-1
6 5 Run From the Nun 2.00 3.1 6-1
4 3 Love You Much 3.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Cherokee Spirit 12.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Super Buddy 3.00 5.6 11-1 Scr
5 4 Lil Love Machine 8.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 Sharon Gunther 1.60 1 2-1
2 2 Frisky Whiskey 2.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Lucky Candy 10.00 3.7 7-1 Scr
4 4 Lemon Lover 4.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Hug a Tree 4.50 4.9 9-1
1 1 Nairet 15.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 Larrikin 5.00 3.3 6-1
8 6 Maryland Pride 3.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Earned It 5.00 4 8-1 Scr
10 8 Censure 5.00 4.3 8-1
9 7 Glenn’s Caper 4.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Repeat Repeat 4.00 5 9-1
7 5 Broad Reach 8.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 Alluring Silver 20.00 6.6 12-1
5 5 Unclenedwhodrank 15.00 7.7 15-1 Scr
4 4 Wise Men 10.00 8.9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 2 Miss Mischievous 6.00 3.1 6-1
5 4 Holiday Magician 6.00 3.4 6-1
2 1 Joyful Noise 6.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Spunky Linda 4.00 3.7 7-1 Scr
4 3 Fergie’s Lady 4.00 3.9 7-1
7 6 Truly Hot 5.00 4 8-1
6 5 Notable Game 3.50 6.1 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6A 6 No More Excuses 0.00 3.4 6-1
11 11 Blake’s Magic 0.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Love That Kelly 6.00 4 8-1 Scr
1 1 So Royal 2.00 4 8-1
10 10 Better Way 6.00 5.4 10-1 Scr
2 2 Doukas 6.00 6 11-1 Scr
7 5 Paper Dollie 30.00 6.1 12-1
4A 4 Crystal Pier 0.00 6.4 12-1
5 2 Charm City 3.00 6.7 13-1
9 7 Poco Loco 20.00 6.9 13-1
8 6 Fair Praise 30.00 8.9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6 5 Irish Handcuffs 5.00 2.6 5-1
7 6 Turbo Booster 2.50 3.1 6-1
8 7 The Iron Bank 6.00 3.6 7-1
5 4 Fifties Music 4.50 4.1 8-1
9 8 Davy’s Fancy 6.00 5.4 10-1
4 3 Adversary 10.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Crazy Wild Bill 20.00 6 11-1
3 3 Bralin’s Grace 20.00 6.3 12-1 Scr
1 1 Buzz Lite 8.00 8.1 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 Don’t Poke the Cat 3.00 2.9 5-1
13 13 Oyster Soup 4.50 2.9 5-1 Scr
14 14 Abercorn 20.00 5.3 10-1 Scr
12 12 Slippery Slope 5.00 5.6 11-1 Scr
8 7 He’s One Wild Dude 2.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 Wild Dynaformer 3.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Roethlisberger 3.50 7 13-1 Scr
15 15 Eclipticals Wolf 20.00 7.8 15-1 Scr
10 9 My Own Lane 8.00 7.9 15-1
11 10 A True Gentleman 20.00 8.1 15-1
4 4 Radial Flyer 12.00 9 17-1
2 2 Story Spinner 12.00 10.1 19-1
7 6 Virginia Royal 20.00 11.4 22-1
9 8 What Gives 20.00 12.7 24-1
1 1 Buzzworthy 30.00 13.3 25-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6 5 Jehozacat 3.00 3.3 6-1
3 2 Theodosia 2.50 3.6 7-1
5 4 Sweet Tweet 15.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Friction Fire 20.00 3.9 7-1 Scr
1 1 Lucky Cover 6.00 4.4 8-1
7 6 Almond Roca 5.00 4.7 9-1
8 7 Chauncey 10.00 5.1 10-1
9 8 Prank Call 15.00 5.3 10-1
4 3 In Jail 6.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 7 Southern Peach 4.00 1.7 3-1 Scr
5 4 Hissy Fit 5.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Take A Deep Breath (GB) 2.00 3.6 7-1 Scr
8 8 Sarah’s Whisper 3.50 4.6 9-1 Scr
9 5 Bayshore Drive 10.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Discreet Deceit 8.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Ms Eileen 30.00 6.9 13-1 Scr
2 2 Pira 12.00 7.1 14-1
1 1 Miss Swisher 4.50 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 Tightly Bridled 3.00 2.9 5-1 Scr
3 3 Cerebral 6.00 3 6-1 Scr
11 6 Mr. Benz 4.00 3.3 6-1
8 3 Sunrise Sunset 3.50 4.3 8-1
9 4 Awesome Type 2.50 4.4 8-1
12 7 Hardwin 3.50 5.7 11-1
10 5 Saint Ignatius 10.00 7.1 14-1
6 1 Gator Boy 10.00 7.7 15-1
5 5 Scrapple 20.00 8.4 16-1 Scr
2 2 Credit Ready 8.00 9.6 18-1 Scr
1 1 Spoiled by God 15.00 10 19-1 Scr
7 2 Spectacularwarrior 20.00 11.6 22-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.