July 30, 2017 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mining Diamonds | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Sally Simpson | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Amy Jean | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Passion for Papa | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Hennessy Storm | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Empress Deelites | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Summertimemischief | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Little Bit Lovely | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Longstocking | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Sturdy One | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Painting Corners | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Miss Loujean | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Knk’s Dolce Vita | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wealthy Shipman | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 7 | Empress Rules | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Joe’sgoldenholiday | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Red Livy (IRE) | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Majestic Diva | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Send It | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 6 | Argumentative | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Bona Fide Image | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Alpha Pegasus | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Blissful Rose | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Nikki | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 4 | Miss Caracas | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Champagne Elegance | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Silken Road | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Fleet Treat S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Miss Sunset | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Queen Bee to You | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Alpenhorn | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dreamy Gal | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Espionage | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Isa Firecracker | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Please Do | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | All of a Sudden | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Honeymoonz Over | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Kazan (IRE) | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Encumbered | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Old School Ike | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Brave Helios | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Pitching | 2.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Axelrod | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Respect the Hustle | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Primo Touch | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | My Boy Jack | 3.50 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Pubilius Syrus | 4.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Sir Charmalot | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Davka | 8.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Captain Buzzkill | 20.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Taylor and Burton | 3.00 | 0.7 | 1-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Condi | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Katherine | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Midnight Affair | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Chiffon | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Into Glamour | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Factorofwon | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Poetic | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | True Royalty | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Cimpl Man | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Coastline | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Skelton Pass | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Doc Curlin | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Malibu Alex | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Burger and Fries (FR) | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | To the Bar | 5.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Force (IRE) | 20.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Newsman (IRE) | 3.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tequila Joe | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Editore (BRZ) | 12.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Clement L. Hirsch S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Faithfully | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stellar Wind | 1.20 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Vale Dori (ARG) | 1.40 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shenandoah Queen | 0.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Motown Lady | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Autumn Flower | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Rye Patch | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Lindante | 0.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 13 | 13 | Atomic Rule | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 10 | Hay Dude (GB) | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Socratical | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Malko (IRE) | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Tribal Tribute | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Silent Movies | 5.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Roaring Rule | 0.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Indygo Bo | 4.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Guggenheim | 10.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pound Piece (IRE) | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Agent Di Nozzo | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Lazzam (GB) | 6.00 | 12.6 | 24-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.