July 29, 2017 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Dr. Clark | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Wildwood Dancer | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Black Angel | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bill’s Production | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Judge N Ruler | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Christian C | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | River Cactus | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Queenofthepalace (NZ) | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Moms Choice | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | One Liz | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tasseography | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bonita Cat | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Strive | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Alpha Kitalpha | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Always a Catch | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dad Are We Here | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mendota | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Act of Heroism | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stormy Pacific | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dancing Rock | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Chicago Blues | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | McHenry | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Consequential | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Hazza | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gary Luke | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kit Check | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Sudden Urges | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 9 | Giant Results | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Reap | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Just Jim | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Hidden Ocean | 30.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Razorback Blend | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Golden Dart | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Alazan Shiner | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Storming the Beach | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Force It | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vino Limbo Tango | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sassy Moe | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Monday Pirate | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bonita’s Gift | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Fleetway | 2.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Franklin County | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Road to Zanzibar | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Nifty Nellie | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mongolian Time | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ms Elvira | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nurse Megan | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Silent Congrats | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mi Hermanita | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zosia | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Americanperfection | 10.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lucy Lucy Lucy | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Jete Ete | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | She’s Fine Tuned | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Altered Mind | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Mystique Artiste | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Na Pali Spirit | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Circuit Reboot | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Teach Me Tonight | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Glamala | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 8 | Cream of the Crop | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Templesis | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Kantastic | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Richie’slilwildcat | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Divorce | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Turbo Shaft | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Karenina | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Macbu | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Annie Time Girl | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Roussalka | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Stay Anchored | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Scoreearlyandoften | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Outrank | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Aviating | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | Scr |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.