July 26, 2017 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Stakes) – Jonathan Kiser Novice S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | No Wunder (GB) | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Show Court (IRE) | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Surprising Soul | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | New Member (IRE) | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Macnicholson (IRE) | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Moscato (GB) | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miguel Grau | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Out of Nowhere | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 14 | 14 | Song for the Soul | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Filly Madison | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Sand City | 2.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 10 | Holy Gold | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Tapceptional | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Janneydancer | 8.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ciao Bella Mia | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gare de Lyon | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Starship Rockette | 8.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sharp Lacey | 15.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fancy Gem | 4.50 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Indian Gem | 5.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Havana Affair | 20.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | New Canaan | 5.00 | 14.1 | 27-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Icy Girl | 20.00 | 14.6 | 28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | High Multiple | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Combat Controller | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Professor Snape | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Hay Listen Up | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bunyaan | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Benny Big Boy | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Ferdinandthemouse | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Howyaformoney | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Howlin Mad Smith | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Emoticon | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Royal Ridge | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Fayeq | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Battle Midway | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | T R Crew | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hammerin Aamer | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Emancipation | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blame Us All | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Deltalina | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Ruby Dusk | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Platinum Spark | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | A Dixie Twister | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Asian’s Way | 3.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 8 | Treatherlikestar | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Sisella | 30.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Flying Point | 12.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Queen of Spades | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Jazzy Juder | 4.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Divine Cause | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11B | 11 | Terrificville | 0.00 | 0.9 | 2-1 | |
| 5B | 5 | Breath of Dawn | 0.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 2 | Missimpazi | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9A | 9 | Taylor’s the Boss | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Sayonara Rose | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 4 | Super Stone | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4A | 4 | Trouble for Skylar | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Berning Rose | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 3 | Climb the Ladder | 3.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Asiliveandbreathe | 0.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7C | 7 | Reyana Reya Dreams | 0.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 12C | 12 | Reyana Reya Delite | 0.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Super Hawk | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Man of Wiregrass | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Prophet’s Cat | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Voodoo Song | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vintage Matters | 1.80 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Clutch Cargo | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sandy Strikes | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Light Reign | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Wicked Macho | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Elenzee | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Uncle Tbone | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Animal Posse | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Gehrig | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Freud’s Friend | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | River Knight | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Heldatgunpoint | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gaming | 2.50 | 7.9 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Smarty’s Pal | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Honorable Miss H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Finley’sluckycharm | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Paulassilverlining | 1.20 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Disco Chick | 12.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Clothes Fall Off | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | By the Moon | 2.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 9 | Americasprincess | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Scarlett Jo Hansen | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | She Remembered | 2.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sneaky Fudge Face | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Majestic Mac | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 10 | Freckle de Freck | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Reconsider It | 5.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Grande Beso | 10.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Posse’s Paradise | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Missy’s Storm | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Saturdaynightfling | 8.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 8 | Pure Gemmz | 4.50 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Laurel Lane | 30.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Prima Attrice | 12.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tiffany’s Vision | 15.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Patty Permits | 6.00 | 13.1 | 25-1 | Scr |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.