July 22, 2017 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Natalie’s Angel | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mini Donation | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | She Is Special | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bring Me Answers | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Flint Hill | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rhinestone Cowgirl | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hallucination | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Called in Sick | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | La Nina | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Zippity Gal | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Spiced Commander | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sommer Something | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Scarlett’s Ransom | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sur Empire (GB) | 10.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Perfect Trace | 5.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pea Patch Point | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Mathildestrevenue | 4.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Chocomount | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Somekindofmagician | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | True Cat | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Colonel Crawford | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Mr Small | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Rocky Love | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Caneel Bay | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Last Train Out | 10.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Six Tonsafun | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Channel Surfing | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Seaside Schiller | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Abracadabra | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Greeley’s Bustnout | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Un Po Di Vino | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Like a Lion | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | First to Fire | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sasana (GB) | 5.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Music Makes Sense | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Holiday Blues | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 4 | She Rolls | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Phantom Shot | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 5 | Sazerac Girl | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Sarah’s Whisper | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Proud Maid Marian | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Quick Thinking | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Clem Gem | 12.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 1 | Durango Girl | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Vittorioso | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | My Enigma | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Classic Salsa | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wild Willy Dean | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Corvus | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kristofferson | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jarvis Steel | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | McPherson | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Diamond Drive | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Godlovesasinner | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cape Apache | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Major Anthem | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cause of the Royal | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Enasoit | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fear the Fire | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sidewalk Prophet | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Rockinn On Bye | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Furyofthenorsemen | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Talk Show Man | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Marengo Road | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Bodhisattva | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Unbridled Lion | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Eyeplayeveryday | 4.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Franklin Towers | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Grandiflora | 5.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Concern S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Proforma | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | No Dozing | 1.20 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Honor the Fleet | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Alex Again | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Truly a Moon Shot | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Greek Prince | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Cohen’s Kat | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Keep Your Distance | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tiz Majesty | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Via Frattina | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Giving | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fancy Chance | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | D. K.’s Valentine | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Southsidestrut | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Nightclubber | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tarheel Raven | 10.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | A Simple Challenge | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Thirsty Bandit | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Glory Unbound | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.