July 22, 2017 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | True Ranger | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Golden Atlantic | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Red Carpet Cat | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Giro Candito | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Where’s Bubba | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Midnight Harbor | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Hale | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Looks Good N a Tux | 4.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Kaabraaj | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cherubim | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Alley Boss | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Iron Rob | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pray Hard | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | New Karma | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Graycaster | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Roaring Fork | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | On the Right | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Neighborhood Bully | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | World Wide Blame | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | An Ocala Ten | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | United Patriot | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bank Walker | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Alphadar | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Eddie Read S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ashleyluvssugar | 1.40 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kenjisstorm | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wanstead Gardens | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Up With the Birds | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hunt (IRE) | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Roary | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Abbey Vale (IRE) | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sunday Nap | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Right as Rain | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Adventurous | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Moon Zapper | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Trapalanda | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Flash Henry | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Decarchy Dawn | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tuviah | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | One Son of a Chief | 20.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Marckie’s Water | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Comma Sister | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Van Cortlandt | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sorry Erik | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Billy Big (IRE) | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Howdy Kingkowboy | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Vibe | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fashion Business (GB) | 4.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Royal Opera House (IRE) | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Knight’s Dream (IRE) | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Super Echelon | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bahamian | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Joejoe’s Kingdom | 20.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Gracida | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Makeppcgreatagain | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Raven Creek | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | He’s Like Violence | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wild Verse | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | So Long Sailor | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Fleetwood | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Girl Downstairs | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Midnight Lilly | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Pleasant as Pie | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Ok Doll | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Mrs. Norris | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Rutile | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Tapit | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | All That Heat | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lucy De | 6.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kennedie Sky | 8.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bombilate | 8.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | You’re A Goat (GB) | 6.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Hacktivism | 20.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Khaleesi (BRZ) | 20.00 | 13.1 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Tvg San Diego H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Arrogate | 0.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cat Burglar | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Accelerate | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Donworth | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dalmore | 0.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | El Huerfano | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Lucky Soul | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Potent | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Borg | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Brulee | 0.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 12 | Ample Sufficiency | 4.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Divisor | 8.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bacoli | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ready Aim | 5.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Awesome Heights | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Principal Bob | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ding Dong Ditch | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Icy Street | 8.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Combat Zone | 8.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Indoctrination (IRE) | 0.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | Scr |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.