July 21, 2017 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Herunbridledpower | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Goliath’s Girl | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sidepocket Run | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ipray | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Nazareth | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Southern Treasure | 3.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mia’s Storm | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Briana Jean | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | L. A. Tower | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Colonial Power | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bloodletting | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Buckner | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cleanup Hitter | 1.80 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cool Hunter | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Supreme Giant | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Thorny Issue | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sensational Sea | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dark Engine | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Meadowsweet | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Goseecal | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cynthiana | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pacific Wind | 1.80 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Helen Hillary | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Pistol Packin Rose | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | La Force (GER) | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Beware (IRE) | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tooreen Dancer (IRE) | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tiburtina (IRE) | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | War Moccasin | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Michael Mundo | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Texas Wedge | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bold Determination | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Superb Moment | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Royal Trump | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | The Public Halo | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Candyman Garret | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bob’s All In | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Playing Through | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Liska | 10.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 11 | Chief Hosa | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Marvelous Kaos | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Jet Set Man | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Miracle March | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Plate Side | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Rocky’s Show | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 98 | Pop Pop’s Pizza | 0.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 8 | Particleacelerator | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Salient | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Eight Spokes | 4.50 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tomasino | 10.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Elegant Tanner | 8.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | One I’m Running To | 12.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Jen’s Journey | 30.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Blameitonthelaw | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | American Pastime | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stringent | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Aglimpseofgabby | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Aristocratic | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Distinctive B | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Clever Royal | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Percy’s Bluff | 5.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Candy Promises | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Osunitas S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 98 | Bellamentary | 0.00 | 0.8 | 1-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 7 | Lady Valeur (IRE) | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mrs McDougal | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Watch This Cat | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Corps de Ballet | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 16 | 98 | Kenriya (FR) | 0.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Street Surrender | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 98 | Dreamarcher | 0.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 8 | Symposium (GB) | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Madame Stripes (ARG) | 4.50 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 98 | Belvoir Bay (GB) | 0.00 | 9 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 98 | Motown Lady | 0.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 9 | Dressed to a T | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 14 | 10 | Laseen (IRE) | 10.00 | 13 | 25-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Anita Partner (IRE) | 8.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Brookys Star | 30.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 12 | Blackhawk Beauty | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | Scr |
| 13 | 98 | Raven Creek | 0.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 7 | Hot Decision | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Suit of Lights | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Smokem | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Time for Cioppino | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Southern Warlord | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Push Through | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Unobtainable | 5.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Continental Divide | 15.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Lucky Romano | 12.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 98 | Daddysprize | 0.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 9 | Weiden | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mikes Tiznow | 20.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.