July 20, 2017 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Finallygotabentley | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Oh Newman | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Royal F J | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Saddle Soar | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Frac Candy | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bullet Express | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Madelyn’s Wild Max | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Honor Maker | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Room On the Broom | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sassy Ashley | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Anita G. | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ragazza Di Vola | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ocean Dream | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Yavrig | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Easy Song | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hotsy Dotsy | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | R Sunday Surprise | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Speakers | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jabber Now | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Halo Ahead | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Californiasummer | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 9 | Zillinda | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Battleground State | 6.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Delightful Event | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Proper Drink | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Judy | 30.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Apphia | 30.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Shadow Op | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Clifton Beach | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tiz Indy | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gummy | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Orejas | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Malibu d’Oro | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hedoesitinstyle | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ruff House | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Awesome Return | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Path of David | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Spanish Hombre | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Street Moxie | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hero Ten All | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Excessive Kid | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Buymeabond | 4.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | County Lineman | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Muchos Besos | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Woody’s Folly | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Moving | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Hold That Smile | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Adroit | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sugaratsundown | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Pray for Corday | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Sharona Sunset | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Pretty | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Claw | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mama’s Kid | 5.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Whatyouciswhatuget | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Auntjenn | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Indriya | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Tapped | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Snow Cloud (IRE) | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Shy Carmelita | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lajatico (GB) | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Wedding Blush | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Easy Grader | 3.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Everqueen | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Factorize | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Ginger Street | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Willows Babe | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | I Never Give Up | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Summer | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Acharnement | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Scat Home Lady | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Swanky Jas | 10.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Wicked Wahine | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Stylitude | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | Scr |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.