July 19, 2017 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Our Nation | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Summer Buddha | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Getoffmyback | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Woodstock Memory | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Native Ride | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Papa Royale | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Post Rock | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Where Y’at Joe Joe | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bronzino (FR) | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Holdthismiss | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pedro Cerrano | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Geologist | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Logan’s Moon | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Over Par | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 3 | Accountability | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Packin Heat | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Cheekaboomboom | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Alsatian | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Plain Wrap | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Popular Kid | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ibon | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Pretty Owl | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Classy Tune | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Literary Critic | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Discreetly Leah | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Slim Fit | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Soul Singer | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Snowdust | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Unlucky Hillary | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Fracas | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Just a Smidge | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Mapit | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Tyfosha | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Our Slick Chick | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Varanasi | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Halo Girl | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | My Princess Taylor | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 98 | Babbs | 0.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Innyminniemineymoe | 20.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Broome | 8.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bert’s Melody | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Family Meeting | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 98 | Cheekaboo | 0.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Space Cadet | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Shehastheritestuff | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dynamic Mizzes K | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Moonless Sky | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 14 | 98 | Dressed to a T | 0.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 13 | 98 | Barleysugar (IRE) | 0.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 8 | Hiking | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 98 | Frenzified (GB) | 0.00 | 9 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | How Unusual | 15.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Nodiac (IRE) | 3.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Ginga (ARG) | 15.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Gato Del Oro | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Giant Expectations | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Saint Dermot | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Tribal Jewel | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Tell Me a Story | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Quiet Dude | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Magical Mystery | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Karma King | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Absolutely Stylish | 2.50 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miner’s Light | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Madiba | 6.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Kid Charming | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Oceanside S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Arms Runner | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Fortune of War (GB) | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Placido | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 14 | 12 | My Man Chuckles | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Allaboutmike | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 98 | Monster Man | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Vending Machine | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rockin Rudy | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pioneer Lad | 15.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Grecian Fire | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bird Is the Word | 5.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 16 | 13 | Harbour Master (GB) | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bowies Hero | 2.50 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
| 15 | 98 | Reign On (GB) | 0.00 | 12 | 23-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 10 | Caribou Club | 20.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lucky Bode | 30.00 | 13.8 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Smiling Tigress | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Spiced Perfection | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Got an Obsession | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 98 | Adroit | 0.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 8 | Yolanda’s Stone | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 98 | Hold That Smile | 0.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 1 | Pulpit Rider | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Felony One | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Helen’s Tiger | 4.50 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 14 | 98 | My Claw | 0.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 13 | 98 | Whatyouciswhatuget | 0.00 | 9 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 6 | Tapitha Bonita | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | We Will Re Joyce | 4.00 | 11 | 21-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 7 | Streak of Luck | 5.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Preacher Roe | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Que Chistoso | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Dream Police | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Private Prospect | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Anxious Times | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Shackleford Banks | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Above Board | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | My Discretion | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Belisarius (IRE) | 8.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Accelerant | 8.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Out of Patience | 6.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.