July 16, 2017 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | On Tenterhooks | 0.00 | 0.9 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Baltic Art (GER) | 0.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Silver Romeo | 0.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bourbon Commander | 0.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Scrapple | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Liquid Aloha | 0.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Spicy Girl Red | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Wisdom of Oz | 0.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Include Gold | 0.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Better Way | 0.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lily’s Peak | 0.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stormy Salute | 0.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Carolina Dreams | 0.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fleur de Force | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 7 | So Innocent | 0.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Love in Excess | 0.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Holiday Prayer | 0.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Cross the Desert | 0.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Running Tide | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Eidolon | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Important | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Steffeloe | 0.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Annie Boo Boo | 0.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | D N A Approved | 0.00 | 0 | 0-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Parseghian | 0.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Zen Papa | 0.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | C V Eis | 0.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | King’s House | 0.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ring Collector | 0.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cue | 0.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Oyster Soup | 0.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Abercorn | 0.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Baybuilt | 0.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Sweet Steppin | 0.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Split | 0.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Party Regent | 0.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Itsbeenonmymind | 0.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Davy’s Fancy | 0.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Chief Tarhe | 0.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 9 | Chilly Magician | 0.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Crimson Secret | 0.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Royal Crusader | 0.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Aine | 0.00 | 9 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 10 | Crafty Estate | 0.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Saturday’s Rein | 0.00 | 0.9 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Prettyasnewmoney | 0.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Leola Lily | 0.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Royal Brown | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Whenallelsefails | 0.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Egber | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Do You Like That | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Petticoatsnpistols | 0.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Across America | 0.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Jumpstartmyheart | 0.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | No Halter for Me | 0.00 | 9 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Moonshine Lullaby | 0.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Fifth Business | 0.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Demon Buster | 0.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Brothersofthetime | 0.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lets Get It Going | 0.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bay Bridge | 0.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Strike ‘n Spare | 0.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | King of Versailles | 0.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Flatter’s Secret | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Double Whammy | 0.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Whitman’s Poetry | 0.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Forever in Love | 0.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Doctor Mounty | 0.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Viva La Kid | 0.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3A | 3 | Motivational | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Daniel Le Deux | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8A | 8 | Biedermeier | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Dat Dares Gold | 0.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rescue Cat | 0.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Crags | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Perfect Hue | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jax | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | More Trix | 0.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miz Rey | 0.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Twelve Tricks | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Big Girl Nation | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bella Nora | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.