July 16, 2017 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Final Flurry | 0.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ouro Verde | 0.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mugu | 0.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Muselet | 0.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Paluxy Princess | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shezastraybullet | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rule the City | 0.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 15 | Lady Paradime | 0.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Peru (GB) | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Conquest So True | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1A | 1 | Morethanjusthello | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Frostie Anne | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ritzy Lass | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Zeven | 0.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Resilient One | 0.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Rockin Alli | 0.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | One Penny Piece (GB) | 0.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Magsamelia | 0.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Baronet | 0.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 16A | 16 | Call Her Karma | 0.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Amber Morning | 0.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Jemmabelle | 0.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Loyal Heart | 0.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Karma Delight | 0.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Refinance | 0.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rarest Quality | 0.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Schott | 0.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Love and Care | 0.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ollysilverexpress | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Spring Emperor | 0.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dublin Express | 0.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Lynbrook S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | I Still Miss You | 0.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Missbigtimes | 0.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | One Last Cast | 0.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Northernstreetgal | 0.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Pure Silver | 0.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | The Pooch | 0.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 10A | 10 | Hopper Dropper | 0.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Colonel Andy | 0.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 8 | Talented Zealous | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8A | 8 | That Mr. P | 0.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Source Control | 0.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Shades of Brown | 0.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Psychic Energy | 0.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Heat Check | 0.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Beneficial Risk | 0.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Super Hawk | 0.00 | 0.9 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Here Comes Tommy | 0.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 15A | 15 | Voodoo Song | 0.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dearie | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 4 | Jo’s Bold Cat | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Lead by Example | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Storm Prophet | 0.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | River Knight | 0.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 9 | Southern Union | 0.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Bluegrass Express | 0.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 12A | 12 | Jupiter Rising | 0.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | E J’s Legacy | 0.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Zigarch | 0.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Exclusive Zip | 0.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 1 | 11 | Tottie Royer | 0.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Gentrify | 0.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ackeret | 0.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Souper Knight | 0.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Puppy Manners | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tug of War | 0.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Risk Management | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 10 | Instant Replay | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | All About Ashley | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bustin the Bank | 0.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Lyrical Miracle | 0.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 7 | Alaskan Prince | 0.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Maniacal | 0.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Pirellone | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fortuitous Path | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 8 | The Zip Zip Man | 0.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Taste for Talent | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 6 | Lone Trader | 0.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Final Encore | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Peppermint Zip | 0.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Spectrolite | 0.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 7 | Cozzy Spring | 0.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Barbie On a Budget | 0.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Bluegrass Jamboree | 0.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Empress Jingu | 0.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 4 | Congaree Rose | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Gregorian Gold | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Miss Freeze | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Decorator Jenn | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 6 | Cats Halo | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Grey Fox | 0.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 1 | Runaway Posse | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | White Flag | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Air Vice Marshal | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Banana Thief | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 10 | Lord of Love | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Diamond Jim | 0.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 11A | 11 | El Talento | 0.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Whiskey Seven | 0.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 12 | Mr. Meister | 0.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 16A | 16 | Portando | 0.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Island Therapy | 0.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mineralogy | 0.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bar None | 0.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Son of Mine | 0.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Cinderela El Crome | 0.00 | 12.4 | 23-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Djulpan | 0.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Unbroken Chain | 0.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Manifest Destiny | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Croce d’Oro | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Son of Oahu | 0.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Two Down One to Go | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fulmer | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Harv Won’t Tap | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 12 | Isofass | 0.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | There Goes Ben | 0.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mr Grey (FR) | 0.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Open Bar | 0.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sutter’s Mill | 0.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.