July 15, 2017 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Primary Target |
2.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Saratoga San |
3.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Spring Tune |
8.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Proudmiamicitizen |
12.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Sir Win |
4.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Dynasmart |
12.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Dominick’s Dream |
6.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
2 |
Army Man |
3.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Flashonforty |
5.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
Scr |
2 |
1 |
Catapult Jack |
2.50 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
|
8 |
5 |
Yankee Tar |
20.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
|
7 |
4 |
Midnight Justice |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
9 |
6 |
Two Steppin |
20.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Fairly Bold |
12.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
Scr |
11 |
8 |
Cooper |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
12 |
9 |
Nile Gold |
20.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
|
5 |
3 |
Offshore Trip |
6.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Joeyville |
20.00 |
10.3 |
19-1 |
Scr |
10 |
7 |
Al |
20.00 |
10.9 |
21-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
2 |
Tiz Madness |
3.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Icona |
10.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
Scr |
6 |
4 |
Kissesrgettnlouder |
2.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
|
8 |
6 |
Paper Moon |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
7 |
5 |
Feeling Super |
10.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Lucky Meeting |
3.50 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
Scr |
5 |
3 |
Bravucona |
6.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
|
3 |
1 |
High Math |
12.00 |
7.1 |
14-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Forgotten Knot |
15.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Chasing Twilight |
4.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
High Dollar Kitten |
2.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Collin’s Smile |
3.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Kid Kelly |
15.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
Scr |
4 |
3 |
Barlovento Tiger |
10.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
My Son Ernie |
12.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Chilham Court |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Transparent |
8.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Broadway Bay |
4.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Clowney |
1.60 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Harpoon |
2.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Soaring Cid |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
El Grillo |
15.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Diamond Prince |
10.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
8 |
8 |
Smarty Mr D |
12.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Maximus Meridius |
3.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
Scr |
3 |
2 |
Riq Fox |
8.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Teflon Tony |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Nexrad |
5.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
Scr |
10 |
10 |
Godspeed Tommy |
8.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Trilogy |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
On a Star |
4.00 |
7.1 |
14-1 |
Scr |
4 |
3 |
Scherzo |
15.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Summer Type |
12.00 |
8.9 |
17-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Fevered Affair |
12.00 |
10.3 |
19-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
1 |
Irish Colonel |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Scout’s Honor |
2.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Raging Champion |
4.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
I Am the Man |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
1A |
8 |
Adumato |
3.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
|
1 |
7 |
Graves Island |
3.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Detroit Cowboy |
15.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Giant Trick |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
Scr |
6 |
5 |
Gato Pimiento |
6.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
El Potro |
10.00 |
8.9 |
17-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
9 |
9 |
Gold Tinker |
3.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
Scr |
12 |
12 |
Tizanillusion |
4.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
Scr |
8 |
5 |
Grogger |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
10 |
6 |
She’s Stunning |
4.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Simplylucky |
12.00 |
7.1 |
14-1 |
Scr |
5 |
3 |
Nerai |
12.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
4 |
2 |
Assail |
5.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Little Stella |
10.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
Scr |
2 |
1 |
Girls and Guns |
15.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
All Summed Up |
15.00 |
8.9 |
17-1 |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Steel Bay |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
Scr |
6 |
4 |
Penelopes Best |
4.50 |
9.1 |
17-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Kristinite |
3.50 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Love Is All |
8.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Masio |
10.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Little Miss Miss |
2.50 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Don’t Ask Me Why |
20.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Royal Stage |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Hazy Daisy |
8.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Axe Capital |
5.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Another Secret |
6.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Edfitzatmahle’sbar |
10.00 |
8.9 |
17-1 |
|
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.