July 15, 2017 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | No Hiding Place | 0.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | W. Giles | 0.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Evolution | 0.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | King of Anything | 0.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Baby Bear’s Soup | 0.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tasunke Witco | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Super Mama | 0.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Spa Treatment | 0.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | She’s Dreamin | 0.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Tizza Temper | 0.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mo Style | 0.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Smart Throb | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Smart and Sassy | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cetara | 0.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bay Venus | 0.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Long Island Lady | 0.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Here Comes Jody | 0.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Rockville Centre S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | What a Catch | 0.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Analyze the Odds | 0.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Morning Breez | 0.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lake Party | 0.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Morrison | 0.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Over Salty | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Vicki’s Dancer | 0.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lakeside Sunset | 0.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Barrier to Entry | 0.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Aussie Prayer | 0.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Congarette | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Startwithsilver | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fire Key | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Champagne Ruby | 0.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Novique | 0.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hold On Momma | 0.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | E Warfare | 0.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rahy’s Bandit | 0.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Over My Head | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Preziosa | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sweetneida | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Town | 0.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mollica | 0.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stormin Maclean | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Abbot | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Yummy Bear | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Retrograde | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Baseline | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Steamboat Bill | 0.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Luminary Flight | 0.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 9 | Honor and Pleasure | 0.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Heavenly Sun | 0.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | The Orphan Miracle | 0.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | New Jersey John | 0.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Danny’s Rush | 0.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Incorporate | 0.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Risky Sour | 0.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bats Cleanup | 0.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cafe Y Blanco | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 13 | 12 | Captain Kitt | 0.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Frost Proof | 0.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Filius Scat | 0.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Looking At U Kid | 0.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kierland | 0.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Frozen Daiquiri | 0.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Clonedsimmard | 0.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 8 | U Rock It | 0.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tap City | 0.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Forbidden Apple S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Weekend Hideaway | 0.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Grand Arch | 0.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mohaymen | 0.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 5 | Disco Partner | 0.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Bondurant | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | King Kreesa | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Get Jets | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Offering Plan | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mr Maybe | 0.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Great Wide Open (IRE) | 0.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 7 | Cerise’s Prince | 0.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Collective Effort | 0.00 | 0.9 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bad Guy | 0.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Pete | 0.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Panama Ed | 0.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Stolen Pistol | 0.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Theresa’s Boy | 0.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Can’tweallgetalong | 0.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Scientist Kat | 0.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Reyana Reya Delite | 0.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 10 | Palladian Bridge | 0.00 | 0.9 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Lulu’s Blues | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Majestic Bloom | 0.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Puparee | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 7 | Spring Folly | 0.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Freeze | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 6 | Addictive | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Lady Bergen | 0.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Lover’s Key | 0.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Strawberry Tequila | 0.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Electrified | 0.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Three Eighty Eight | 0.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Laura’s Patriot | 0.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Five Each Way | 0.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Ides of Arch | 0.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Red Knight | 0.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Appealing Briefs | 0.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Hoboe | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Zonic | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | There He Goes | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | St. Patrick Frost | 0.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | O Captainmycaptain | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 8A | 8 | Arthur Avenue | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 8 | Disavow | 0.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Man of Chrome | 0.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Millies Party Boy | 0.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | Scr |
| 15A | 15 | Slewacandy | 0.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | You Like That | 0.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Artic Storm Cat | 0.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.