July 14, 2017 Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Smokin’ Carol | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Baby Lylly | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Little Luci Lu | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Maimie | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Mnmsuncorked | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Cheese a Dolly | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lets Go Flo | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Kill Shot | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gentleman Len | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Contrip | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Love Your Humor | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | No Supervision | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | It’sgoodtobelucky | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hypothetical | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Run Away Home | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Stalker | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Scarlet | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wonder Why | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fleet Cat Feet | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Seek the Treasure | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kitka | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Girl of the Rockys | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Miss Kallie | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ryrysweetie | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Awesome Look | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cal Girls Reign | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Holdthatlove | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Sister Madi | 4.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tour On | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Queenerella | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Valid Cause | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | It’ll Be Fine | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rarin to Go | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zach’s Dash | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Syd Licious | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tyler T | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shock ‘Em All | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Appealing Lady | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Helen Kopter | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | One Afleet Star | 1.80 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | My Lady J | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Jafmil’s Inferno | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ahh Youbetchya | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pom N Circumstance | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Lady June | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Four Reasons | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Charlies a Charmer | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rushin Tothe Front | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Downtown Man | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dont Gang Up On Me | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Added Attraction | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ragnaar Rules | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kinzer | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Iowa Stallion Futurity
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tin Badge | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | One Last Empress | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cowboys Ransome | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Goodnightsugar | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Ferrari Road | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Runforusrun | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Blushing Scarlett | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Major Kelly | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Kerugma | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Boomshakalaka | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dive Bar | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bristol Rover | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | M B Prize | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Bronco Dave | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Blue Jeans N Beer | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Only a Pacemaker | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Garman’s Guy | 12.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.