July 13, 2017 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Juansagain | 1.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Moments Notiz | 1.20 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Changing Karma | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Iancol | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pazmeifucan | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Paws Up Kaylin | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | She Can Too | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cuvee Cat | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Derby Treasure | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fly as a Falcon | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Misty Slew | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Besides the Point | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Irish Dame | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Passion for Papa | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | She’sluckythatway | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Pay Or Play | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Just Be Held | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Dynamic Scoring | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ultimate Luck | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Air Pocket | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Golden One | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mr Larson | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Heavenly Mischief | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gypsy Treasure | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Stormy Countess | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Miss Derby | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Goddess Elidova | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | She’s Movin On | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pretty Expensive | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Angel in Flight | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Foolish to Deceive | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stretch | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Vodka Texted You | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Land of the Free | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Brave Julian | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bitz and a Chair | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cold Bay | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Fact of Life | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Be a Lady | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Reiki Baby | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sly Humor | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Cioppino Pasadino | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Holy Mosey | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Dashin Ashen | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Masco Yodeler | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Take the One O One | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Take Charge Deputy | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | From the Distance | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Nova | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hit the Seam | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Utah Ute | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Whoodat | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Southern Warlord | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | The Sleepy Prince | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Big Bad Gary | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.