July 8, 2017 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Emotions Runnin High |
10.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Tf Dashin Ms Perry |
2.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Cant Catchacorona |
3.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Zelus Long Pipes |
20.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Jess a Prized Doll |
5.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Rebas Not Done |
4.50 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Diamondinthefront |
10.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Rf Shez Leaving You |
12.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Streakin Past |
30.00 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Dun Gone Gold |
12.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Stakes) – Live Oak S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Game Own |
3.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
First Prize Chad |
3.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
B and G Fast Dash |
2.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Agoutis Snowplow |
15.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Im Mighty Fast |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Dashing With Courage |
4.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Rakin in the Jax |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Igottagiterdone |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Fast Pipity |
3.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Faithncourage |
10.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Rawhide Piloto |
5.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Secrets Doubleshot |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Heza Royal Patriot |
4.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Jet Black Rugaru |
30.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Louisiana Dressblues |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Geaux Blue |
12.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Cowboyz Hotrod |
20.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Paint Your Jewels |
3.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Streaking Ragazzo |
3.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Ms Streakin Game |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Confidante |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
McM Little Rat |
4.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
10 |
8 |
Rosicky |
5.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
9 |
7 |
Jess a Corona Baby |
15.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Featuring Fast Jess |
12.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Katie Mae |
20.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Jess Mr Runaway |
20.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Louisiana Starter S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Bjs Magic Wings |
1.40 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Corona and Jewels |
12.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Sheza Fast Mom |
1.80 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Tm Goinsouth |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Struttin Spirit |
8.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Sizzlin On Da Bayou |
12.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Toast to Nana |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Flying Breed S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Cute Mic Jagger |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Magic Black Jack |
10.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Scoopies Leaving You |
3.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Big Daddy Bux |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Sweet Bru |
12.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Heasablackmagic |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Tellem Im Pumped |
8.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
10 |
9 |
Heza Fast Wokatee |
12.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Punctuality |
15.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Gt Divalicious |
20.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Flashy Hemp S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
10 |
10 |
Jet Black Presence |
5.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Fast Dash Chicks |
4.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Fast Dashin Dee |
4.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Tf Ms Perrys Runaway |
10.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Rbd Jessaswingin |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Jet Black Rogue |
3.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Sheza Streakin Class |
12.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Jess a Little Star |
10.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Punctuality |
15.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
San Lorenzo Lady |
15.00 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Louisiana Juvenile S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
10 |
10 |
Jrs Natural Runaway |
12.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Shesa Diamond Diva |
3.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Mary Faye |
15.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Shez Dead Serious |
3.50 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Cold Brown Bottle |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Lrh Cajun Invader |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Going Hot |
3.50 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Second Down Leaving |
6.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Jrs Egos Runaway |
8.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Jezz Chick |
12.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 9 (Derby) – Delta Downs Louisiana Bred Derby
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
First Prize Bourban |
3.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
No Politics Here |
2.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
One Hot Flame |
20.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Tf Racee Runaway |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
San Lorenzo Corona |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Jrs Coronas Shadow |
5.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Zooboo |
4.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Shez the Bomb |
15.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Lightemupwithcharm |
15.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Shatto Stoli |
12.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Louisiana Classic S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
9 |
8 |
Heza Louisiana Dash |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Strong Guns |
20.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Jes a Fast Dasher |
3.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Magic Black Jack |
10.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
Scr |
4 |
3 |
Heza Bell Perry |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Jess a Saint |
5.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
10 |
9 |
Icanonlyemagine |
8.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Coronas Statement |
30.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Jls Dashn and Zoomn |
30.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Who Jack |
30.00 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 11 (Futurity) – Lee Berwick Futurity
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Ttt Kas |
3.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Dashnunder Afullmoon |
2.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Angiesprizedpatriot |
15.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Eye Am Sizzlin |
20.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Tf El Whiskey |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Fabulously Black |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Heza Kat |
8.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
You Drive I Fly |
4.50 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Dashing Forthe Money |
12.00 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Tg Toy |
20.00 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
El Nilo |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Senor Runaway |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Shezafamousmoon |
15.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Rosies Corona |
5.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Kajun Kowgirl |
10.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
10 |
9 |
I Am a Cosino Bunny |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Earsazoomin |
12.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Straw Bux |
3.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Whiskey Brown |
15.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Ccfunatthirteen |
20.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
Scr |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.