July 7, 2017 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 5 | Girl’s Night | 0.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ultima D | 0.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 2 | Soldat House | 0.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sweet Bye and Bye | 0.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Talk Softly | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 11 | Puttinyouonthenews | 0.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Blushing Justine | 0.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 1 | Latrevo | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lyrical Tale | 0.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 4 | Wall of Compassion | 0.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Mistletoe | 0.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Primo Pentimento | 0.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Casigordo | 0.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Professor Snape | 0.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Southern Gentleman | 0.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | The Hero Within | 0.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Discreet Encounter | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Honorable Jonas | 0.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bats Cleanup | 0.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Awesome Anthony | 0.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | The Intern | 0.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cafe Y Blanco | 0.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Captain Kitt | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 6 | Jumpinjack | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Royal Ridge | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Oh So Sinister | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Legendary Humor | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Royal Inheritance | 0.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Moondance Joy | 0.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Zippity Zoom | 0.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Little Bear Cat | 0.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Young Anna Lee | 0.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Big Mara | 0.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Day of Fury | 0.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jeter | 0.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Special Jo | 0.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Risetotheoccasion | 0.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Formal Summation | 0.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pegasus Red | 0.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Chosen One Elijah | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Avery Maeve | 0.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | R Lucky Charm | 0.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Hold On Momma | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 4 | Hexameter | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 5 | Luz Mimi | 0.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hoponthebusgus | 0.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 3 | Reckless Humor | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Queen of Spades | 0.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 6 | Asian’s Way | 0.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | I’m Betty G | 0.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Courtmewithcarats | 0.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Leah’s Dream | 0.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Swayed | 0.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Mohaymen | 0.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tombelaine | 0.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 3 | Siding Spring | 0.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Blacktype (FR) | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 9 | Kharafa | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 1 | El Kabeir | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 11A | 11 | Inspector Lynley | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Poshsky | 0.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 15A | 15 | Hereditary | 0.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lubash | 0.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 13 | 4 | King of New York | 0.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Big Changes | 0.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Mark My Style | 0.00 | 9 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Shalako | 0.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | Scr |
| 14 | 5 | Gypsum Johnny | 0.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Los Borrachos | 0.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Story to Tell | 0.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7A | 7 | Brimstone | 0.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Moon Over a Beauty | 0.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Francesco Appeal | 0.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Luna de Loco | 0.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | El Charro | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Secret Scholar | 0.00 | 0.9 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Martino | 0.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gait to Heaven | 0.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Mast Step | 0.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Our American Star | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | The Podiatrist | 0.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Seasall | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Beneficial Risk | 0.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | For Pops | 0.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.