July 6, 2017 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Karoles Patriot | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mc Jac Hammer | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lasummerpatriot | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lil Swingin Sunshine | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Heza Laughing | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mighty Bag | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jadeaux | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 7 | Jj Jackies Boy | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sizzlin Stewart | 1.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 1 | Up and Gone | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Rbl Butterscotch | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Swifter Deal | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Decorated Hero | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Operator On Fire | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lil Gal Pal | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Eye Opening Bux | 12.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Perrydise | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Bikila | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Jets Wide Open | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sheza Leavin You | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Katie Mae | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Iknowwhattodo | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sovereign Diamonds | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fast Dashin Tay | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ds Oak Tree | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jordans First Prize | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ttt Neshoba Dasher | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jess Say Corona | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cosino Winner | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Summer Motion | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tactical Dash | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Heza Dashing Dream | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Struttinmyjewelsoff | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Connors Illusion | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hesa First Native | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dwaynes First Perry | 4.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Lincolns Oak Tree | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Jess Rockin | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sunny Rose | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ricks Stoli | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jls Mighty Reb Mr | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ah Dash Regard | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Magics Leaving You | 4.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Streakin Fast Winner | 15.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Itskooltobetwentyone | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hogues Secret | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Moms Tough Game | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mps Zoomin Funnyface | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ima Quick Boom Boom | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Struttin Sallye | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shine On Aufluential | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Diana Dela Hoya Bt | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Egos Special Crown | 4.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jrs Shawnies Stoli | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mps Royal Triple | 12.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jets Dashin Rocket | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Your Cash Piloto | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Shez Fast Dash | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jb Jess Cowgirls | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Heza Fast Beau | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hero for Tee | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | First Down Peach | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rmr Wide Open | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Brrrrr | 6.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ragazzos Jewel | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Carry On Curl | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Countryfied Man | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Swampalicious | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dashin With Chrome | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kute N Kwik | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Phils Streakin Oak | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jls Mountain Time | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ttt Kas I Said Go | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jw Who Dat | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bjs Shoksomewings | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Auto Box | 10.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Dashing Temptation | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jrs Taylors Runnaway | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lrh Black Dog | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bababababababad | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lacey Classic Jet | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Raineys Game | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fastdown | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fast Prize Avery | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | The Stunning Stella | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ttt La Consentida | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Jls Ms Politicaljess | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mariachy King | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Pyc First Prize Mia | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tee Ray | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Blue Eyed Cartel | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Jen and Vodka | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Mayor Stoli | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jls Dashn and Zoomn | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Royal Aztec | 3.50 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Do Not Blink | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | La Mos Corona | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Runaway Balance | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Toast This Mvp | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fabulously Fast Game | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Ivys Best Game | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Times a Tickin | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Coronas Prize Dolly | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Madame Bijoux | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Crazy Strong | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Zoomin for Alex | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Consuela Delight | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ac Comandito | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Miss Eagle Dash | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Coronas Prize Doll | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Gussie | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Zapata Chic | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hesagoutitwoshoes | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Cathy Three Moons | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Carters Royal | 8.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kickin Your Dash | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.