July 4, 2017 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Desirous | 1.40 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Feistyloulabelle | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Heavenly Lucky | 1.20 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | You Promise | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shezastraybullet | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Long Island Lady | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Princess Sariah | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Miss Aja Brown | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hold On Momma | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 7 | Queen of Castle | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Bigkat and Camille | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Stay Safe Kitten | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | It’s Two Hot Benny | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Esther the Queen | 3.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 4 | Two Term Max | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Milaya | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Tommy T | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Phi Beta Express | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Weather Wiz | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Old Dubai | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Thaddeus | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ride On Faith | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Arch Daddy | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Rock Ave. Road | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Catch Your Dreams | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lulu’s Pom Pom | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Out of Nowhere | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tres Charmant | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Danielle’s Pride | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Amber Dancer | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tiffany’s Vision | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Red Brook Road | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Elenzee | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | D’yer Mak’er | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bourbon Empire | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 6 | Altesino | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | Gorelli | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 1 | Outrageous Bet | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Blame the Thief | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | New York Song | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Peculiar Sensation | 15.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Ordinaire | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Freedom Seven | 15.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | One Eyed Ray | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dream Doctor | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Iron Power | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Orino | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Dot Matrix | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mr Harlan | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rapt | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Leaveematthegate | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Curtis | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Caviar Czar (IRE) | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tale of Mist | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Everybodyluvsrudy | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vincento | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dogtown | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Emancipation | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Manila S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Big Handsome | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kitten’s Cat | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bricks and Mortar | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dover Cliffs | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Harlan’s Harmony | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Holiday Stone | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Secretary At War | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | The Pooch | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tiz Wicked | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hopper Dropper | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Colonel Andy | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 9 | Frost Proof | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 10 | Clonedsimmard | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Legendary Humor | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 9 | Light the Vow | 5.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lobbyist | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Psychic Energy | 4.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Heat Check | 3.50 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Leatherhead Lurie | 30.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Thenameescapesme | 15.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Daring Destiny | 4.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tiffanys Freud | 15.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Oh So Sinister | 20.00 | 15.3 | 29-1 | Scr |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.