July 3, 2017 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Big Ragu | 0.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Trevino | 0.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Active Management | 0.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Giant Brownie | 0.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pontastic | 0.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Luther D | 0.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mister Hayes | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Casino King | 0.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Madison Blues | 0.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Chow Fun | 0.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pussy Willow | 0.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Frosty Lady | 0.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Graceful Gal | 0.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Light Reign | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Serious Happiness | 0.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Preziosa | 0.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Perfect Partner | 0.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Spieth | 0.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stan the Man | 0.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | D’ambrosio | 0.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Inevitable | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Funtastic | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ghostwalker | 0.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Fusaichi Red | 0.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stormy Sky | 0.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rachel’s Temper | 0.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Quezon | 0.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Momameamaria | 0.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chorus Line | 0.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Summer House | 0.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Pagliacci | 0.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Snap Decision | 0.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hieroglyphics | 0.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bird’s Eye View | 0.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Perro Rojo | 0.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Escape Velocity | 0.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Posse Needed | 0.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pounds to Pennies | 0.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Heavenly Grace | 0.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fifteen Church | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Privy Council | 0.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tiz Super | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | In It for the Gold | 0.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Parade | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fashion Week | 0.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Maddy’s Way | 0.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Flower Valley | 0.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Church Social | 0.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Grateful | 0.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Never Grow Old | 0.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | La Sola Ranger | 0.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tisbury | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | If You Say So | 0.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – State Dinner S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Realm | 0.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Madefromlucky | 0.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Discreet Lover | 0.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Seymourdini | 0.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hard Study | 0.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Doyouknowsomething | 0.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Virtual Machine | 0.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Touchofstarquality | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ocean Knight | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Top Hat City | 0.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Uncle Tbone | 0.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Summer Mischief | 0.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Digitaldestruction | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Uncle Chester | 0.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Money Laundering | 0.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Discretionary Marq | 0.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Calculated Risker | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Rule Number One | 0.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pence | 0.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.