July 1, 2017 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Lisa’s Secret | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Little Lies | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Venezuelan Beauty | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Summer Frock | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Charm City | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hug a Tree | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sarah’s Whisper | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mythos | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Goodbyeseeulater | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Slide by You | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blame Me | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Theyallcomehome | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Senor Quickie | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Flyingtobechilders | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Racetrack Romance | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Jose Sea View | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Barney Rebel (IRE) | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Hard Drive | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Frasero (ARG) | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Holiday Mousse | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Love You Back | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Radiant Beam | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Next Street | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Chips Icluded | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Sommer Something | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Mini Donation | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Attempting to Love | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Brook’s On Fire | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Dundalk | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gowith Theterrain | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Indy Wars | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | The Hardest Way | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Yukon Johnny | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Yay You | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Hurricane Harold | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Clever Triad | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | King’s House | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Dukin’ With Dale | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Great Smoke | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dr Bolt | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Hunger | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hurler | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Social Media | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | D N A Approved | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Saturday’s Rein | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Tattletale Grey | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Perfect Party Girl | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Mesmerize | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Perfect Hue | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nancy R | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Notable Game | 4.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Thirsty Bandit | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Aine | 6.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Hydro | 20.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Neverbreakthechain | 10.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Sell a Peach | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rill in the Hills | 6.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Class Terms | 30.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Valid Grass | 20.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Overdramatic | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Mischievous | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ascertain | 1.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Discreet Deceit | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Faze the Nation | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Nairet | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bay Bridge | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Intrepid Citizen | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Love to Prospect | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Annawon | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | I’m Da Big Man | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Therestishistory | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Soup d’Coupe | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Outofthedepths | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Whiskey Sour | 5.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Out of the Fire | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.