July 1, 2017 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Crazy Frank C |
20.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Telling Tony |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Britannia’s Moat |
12.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Live in Joy |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Golden Point |
2.50 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Sea Cookie |
10.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Gentle Johnny |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Dominate |
3.50 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Rizwan |
4.50 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Darnells Spirit |
12.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Donegal Hall |
20.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Don’s Beach |
12.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Yeehaw |
4.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Always a Dreamer |
10.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
Scr |
8 |
7 |
Bon Raison |
3.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Cometin |
10.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Pubilius Syrus |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Seattle Treasure |
6.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Channel Cat |
2.50 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Bullroarer |
15.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Kiss A Native S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Slacks of Course |
3.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Diamond Oops |
1.80 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Dial One |
2.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Bobby Ax |
5.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Uncle Runt |
4.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Brave Raj S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Di Maria |
10.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
R Paper Chaser |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Rose to Fame |
3.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Diamonds R Trump |
4.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Classy Dancer |
1.20 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Go Astray |
6.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Bob Umphrey Turf Sprint S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Doctor J Dub |
15.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Dreaming of Gold |
20.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
R Limo Joe |
4.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Brilliant Interest |
30.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Partly Mocha |
3.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Diddley |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Pay Any Price |
0.60 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Padilla |
6.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Harryhee |
5.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
Scr |
8 |
8 |
Apache Brave |
20.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Moonwalker |
30.00 |
10.3 |
19-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Flying Girl |
10.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Irish Star |
10.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Genau |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Dointhewatusi |
4.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Make Big Money |
10.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
Scr |
10 |
9 |
Pillango |
4.50 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Callie California |
30.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Bossyatta |
3.50 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Little Queen |
15.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
11 |
10 |
Bionsway |
15.00 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
|
14 |
14 |
Venezuelantreasure |
12.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Indrops |
20.00 |
11.8 |
22-1 |
|
12 |
11 |
Soft and Silent |
30.00 |
11.8 |
22-1 |
|
13 |
13 |
Melody Croon |
30.00 |
13 |
25-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
8 |
8 |
Sound Values |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Stay Again |
30.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Salute the Colonel |
4.50 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Cottonall |
20.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
12 |
12 |
So Long Chuck |
4.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
13 |
13 |
Three Star Stone |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Osvaldo |
10.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Visions of You |
12.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Our Boss |
10.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Southern Sea |
8.00 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Padre |
15.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Elite Kid |
15.00 |
11.8 |
22-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Lemonade Joe |
30.00 |
12.3 |
23-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Dardo |
1.60 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Tom Liz |
5.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Running Trappes |
15.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Wise Warrior |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Alittleoffthetop |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Put the Boss Back |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Milo Diamond |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Pair Pair Tie |
6.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
City Roc |
20.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Nation U S A |
30.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Enduring Arch |
15.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
14 |
14 |
Command Peter |
15.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Gear Jammer |
4.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Santiaguero |
12.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
16 |
16 |
Bluegrass Fields |
20.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
Scr |
12 |
12 |
Just Watch |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Salutation |
6.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Whoop Ti Do |
3.50 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Stravinsky’s Quest |
20.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Yo No Se |
5.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Off the Chain |
15.00 |
10.3 |
19-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Rory |
10.00 |
10.5 |
20-1 |
|
15 |
15 |
American Phantom |
30.00 |
10.5 |
20-1 |
Scr |
8 |
8 |
Il Nonno |
8.00 |
11.8 |
22-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
River Running |
30.00 |
13.8 |
26-1 |
|
13 |
13 |
Bodhi Dog |
15.00 |
13.8 |
26-1 |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Honour Light |
20.00 |
15.3 |
29-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Azalea S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Sweet Tooth Haven |
4.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
R Angel Katelyn |
2.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
True Motion |
20.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Fergielicious |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Worth Avenue |
15.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
Scr |
9 |
8 |
Firefoot |
2.50 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
10 |
9 |
Lirica |
12.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Who’s the Lady |
12.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Brahms Cat |
8.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Hello Juliet |
20.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Carry Back S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
10 |
10 |
Classic Rock |
6.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Three Rules |
3.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Sweetontheladies |
10.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Blind Ambition |
3.50 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Hunka Burning Love |
12.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Mr Atila |
30.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Benefactor |
8.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Gregory Sun |
20.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Mo Cash |
4.50 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Crocodile Charlie |
12.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Aberdeen Way |
30.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 12 (Stakes) – Princess Rooney S. Presented By Hardacre Farm
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Curlin’s Approval |
4.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Dearest |
4.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Concealedwithakiss |
15.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Lightstream |
3.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Distinta |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Birdatthewire |
6.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Wheatfield |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Kinsley Kisses |
6.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
More Than a Party |
20.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Patriotic Diamond |
12.00 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Money Or Love |
30.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 13 (Stakes) – Smile Sprint S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Imperial Hint |
1.80 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Delta Bluesman |
5.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Very Very Stella |
30.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Awesome Banner |
3.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Royal Squeeze |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Quijote |
4.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Express Jet |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Coronado Again |
15.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 14 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
12 |
10 |
Weeza Gone Gray |
3.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
13 |
11 |
Vigas |
4.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Conscious Decision |
15.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Cuban Cowboy |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
16 |
12 |
Big City Heart |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
El Ciclon |
12.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Aridaios |
3.50 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Velvet Colors |
30.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Mad Patriot |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Big Money Machine |
4.00 |
11.3 |
21-1 |
|
15 |
15 |
Runaway Bull |
30.00 |
11.3 |
21-1 |
Scr |
7 |
6 |
Bourbon City |
10.00 |
11.3 |
21-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Whitesoftheireyes |
15.00 |
11.5 |
22-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Colton’s Honor |
30.00 |
12.3 |
23-1 |
Scr |
14 |
14 |
Turkomani |
10.00 |
13.8 |
26-1 |
Scr |
10 |
9 |
Mambocello |
20.00 |
14.5 |
27-1 |
|
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.